NFL Tips: Our Mega Chiefs @ Ravens AFC Conference Game Bet Builder

Our tipster Sam Farley reckons Patrick Mahomes will guide his side to another Super Bowl appearance.

Patrick Mahomes

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Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens Bet Builder Tips

Kansas City Chiefs to Win
Over 44.5 Points
Patrick Mahomes to Score Anytime
Lamar Jackson to Score Anytime
Isaiah Likely Over 21.5 Receiving Yards

Sunday 8pm: Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens

It’s time for the AFC Conference Championship Game and this Sunday we’re being treated to an exciting matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens have been a juggernaut in recent months but it feels like Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs could be back to their best.

Kansas City Chiefs to Win

It’s always tempting to back Patrick Mahomes when he’s an underdog and I believe his and his team’s experience and know-how could be crucial here. We’ve seen Lamar Jackson go 2-3 in playoff games, with two of three losses being when his team was favourite. Could they underperform again?

If the Chiefs play at their best, which is possible, then they’ll make a mockery of being underdogs and I think that’s the best value bet on this game. While the Ravens have been so impressive I believe that Mahomes, the best QB of his generation, is enough to take him team to another Super Bowl.

Over 44.5 Points

I’m all over the total here, which stands at 44.5 points. These are two offenses with the potential to put up big scores. The Chiefs haven’t been a juggernaut this season but their points scored per game has risen nearly five points per in the postseason, jumping to 26.5 per game, which is impressive given the conditions for those games.

The Ravens have been a behemoth down the stretch and have been so explosive. They’ve put up the fourth highest points per game with 28.4 and given their strength in the ground game, they should be able to score here.

Patrick Mahomes to Score Anytime

My favourite long shot anytime touchdown for this game is for Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes to score a touchdown. He’s scored five TDs in 16 playoff appearances but hasn’t scored one since the AFC Conference Championship game two years ago.

He’s not scored a rushing TD all season either but we so often see Mahomes take the team on his back when they need him and I think it’ll be no different here. When the Chiefs are in the red zone the Ravens will be focused on Isiah Pacheco and Travis Kelce, meaning we might be able to see Mahomes scramble for a TD.

Lamar Jackson to Score Anytime

While Patrick Mahomes hasn’t scored a rushing TD this season, it can’t be said for Lamar Jackson. He’s scored seven on the season including two last week against the Texans. He’s an elite rusher and a true dual threat QB. His ability to run with the ball keeps defenses’ honest and is very much built into the identity of this Ravens’ offense.

We’ve seen the Chiefs defense improve hugely this season but the bulk of their improvements have been against the pass and they’re still weak against the run. In the playoffs they’ve allowed an average of 129 rushing yards against them and the Ravens will be licking their lips at that.

Isaiah Likely Over 21.5 Receiving Yards

On Sunday Isaiah Likely’s receiving yard line sits at 21.5, that’s a number he’s hit in his past seven games. That seven game stretch coincides with Mark Andrews, the Ravens’ TE1, getting injured.

Andrews is back this Sunday and that’s led to many believing we’ll see him take over all of the work. While I think we’re going to see Andrews featured more, and it will take some work from Likely, we should still see both men. Likely has been genuinely impressive with Andrews out, scoring six TDs in that seven game span, and they won’t want to eliminate him from the passing game. I think he’s very likely to go Over 21.5 receiving yards.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens Bet Builder Tips

Kansas City Chiefs to Win
Over 44.5 Points
Patrick Mahomes to Score Anytime
Lamar Jackson to Score Anytime
Isaiah Likely Over 21.5 Receiving Yards

*All odds and lines quoted are accurate at time of publication but are subject to change

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