Friday 1:15am: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers TV: Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports NFL
There’s nothing quite like a divisional game.
It has so much history across the bones of seventy years in some cases; where due to the formation of the league, one team can never truly be better than another forever.
Well, it’s sort of felt that way between Green Bay and Detroit.
Heralded as one of the most successful teams in NFL history, the Pack are comfortably the most history-rich team in the NFC North, and while the Bears can claim somewhat of a foothold at various stages, the Lions have perennially been losers.
Even last year – the year it turned – there was a game between the sides.
This feels like Detroit’s major chance to put the Pack back in their place.
Detroit to Win
Jordan Love has a lot of people in Green Bay thinking that they have their next messiah under centre. And while the early-season performances look good in a box score, his throwing and consistency are wildly erratic.
Some might suggest that gets better now with the return of Christian Watson and Aaron Jones, who can relieve the load to a degree.
But the key with both of them is the type of injury they’re coming back from – soft tissue.
They’re not at full capacity yet, meaning Love will have to be even more precise with the balls he’s typically forcing.
He can’t do that, and Jared Goff is the easier selection to back here.
Over 45.5 Points
Both of these teams move the ball at erratic pace and get off a lot of plays – this lends itself to points.
Goff’s reads are primarily designed to get Amon-Ra into space, with a running back who can catch the ball in space and bring it the distance. Similar concept for Love whose deep throws have become his specialty.
Adding Aaron Jones to this level helps elevate the quick release and cheap yards with ball in-hand.
Watson being back is great, but the main reason it’s great is because Doubs and Reed can now benefit from single coverage in the slot when Watson attracts safety help.
Love had already become fond of throwing to Doubs in the end zone because he’s able to separate in tight spaces, and with Aaron Jones not likely to get goal line work given they’ll try separate him from guaranteed small-space contact, this feels like a high probability.
Jared Goff – Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Without David Montgomery or a viable alternative in short yardage situations, I fully expect the Lions to throw ball in the red zone. Gibbs has too small a frame to take work in this part of the field, so I’d expect Dan Campbell to try and go empty formation and look for his mismatch.
That might well come in the shape of the slippery Kaif Raymond.
Sam LaPorta – Under 44.5 Receiving Yards
I’d ask you all not to be silly.
LaPorta is coming off the back of an 84-yard game against Atlanta. I understand that.
He’s also coming off the back of an 84-yard game in which one of them went for 45 yards. That means his other ten targets yielded 39 yards.
Set the expectation for his usage, not his yardage – and you’ll find yourself on the right side of props more often than not.
NFL Tips: Doubs is the man in our 27/1 Thursday Night Bet Builder
Our tipster Andrew Cunneen reckons the Lions get the job done.
By Andrew Cunneen / NFL / 2 months ago
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NFL Thursday Night Bet Builder
Detroit to Win
Over 45.5 Points
Romeo Doubs to Score Anytime
Jared Goff – Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Sam LaPorta – Under 44.5 Receiving Yards
A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 27/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
Friday 1:15am: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
TV: Sky Sports Main Event/Sky Sports NFL
There’s nothing quite like a divisional game.
It has so much history across the bones of seventy years in some cases; where due to the formation of the league, one team can never truly be better than another forever.
Well, it’s sort of felt that way between Green Bay and Detroit.
Heralded as one of the most successful teams in NFL history, the Pack are comfortably the most history-rich team in the NFC North, and while the Bears can claim somewhat of a foothold at various stages, the Lions have perennially been losers.
Even last year – the year it turned – there was a game between the sides.
This feels like Detroit’s major chance to put the Pack back in their place.
Detroit to Win
Jordan Love has a lot of people in Green Bay thinking that they have their next messiah under centre. And while the early-season performances look good in a box score, his throwing and consistency are wildly erratic.
Some might suggest that gets better now with the return of Christian Watson and Aaron Jones, who can relieve the load to a degree.
But the key with both of them is the type of injury they’re coming back from – soft tissue.
They’re not at full capacity yet, meaning Love will have to be even more precise with the balls he’s typically forcing.
He can’t do that, and Jared Goff is the easier selection to back here.
Over 45.5 Points
Both of these teams move the ball at erratic pace and get off a lot of plays – this lends itself to points.
Goff’s reads are primarily designed to get Amon-Ra into space, with a running back who can catch the ball in space and bring it the distance. Similar concept for Love whose deep throws have become his specialty.
Adding Aaron Jones to this level helps elevate the quick release and cheap yards with ball in-hand.
Romeo Doubs to Score Anytime
Watson being back is great, but the main reason it’s great is because Doubs and Reed can now benefit from single coverage in the slot when Watson attracts safety help.
Love had already become fond of throwing to Doubs in the end zone because he’s able to separate in tight spaces, and with Aaron Jones not likely to get goal line work given they’ll try separate him from guaranteed small-space contact, this feels like a high probability.
Jared Goff – Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Without David Montgomery or a viable alternative in short yardage situations, I fully expect the Lions to throw ball in the red zone. Gibbs has too small a frame to take work in this part of the field, so I’d expect Dan Campbell to try and go empty formation and look for his mismatch.
That might well come in the shape of the slippery Kaif Raymond.
Sam LaPorta – Under 44.5 Receiving Yards
I’d ask you all not to be silly.
LaPorta is coming off the back of an 84-yard game against Atlanta. I understand that.
He’s also coming off the back of an 84-yard game in which one of them went for 45 yards. That means his other ten targets yielded 39 yards.
Set the expectation for his usage, not his yardage – and you’ll find yourself on the right side of props more often than not.
NFL Thursday Night Bet Builder
Detroit to Win
Over 45.5 Points
Romeo Doubs to Score Anytime
Jared Goff – Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Sam LaPorta – Under 44.5 Receiving Yards
A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 27/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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