NFL Tips: Thursday night’s 15/1 Bet Builder for Falcons @ Panthers

Our tipster Andrew Cunneen has four value picks in mind.

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Atlanta -3
Over 43.5 Points
DJ Moore – Over 55.5 Receiving Yards
Marcus Mariota to Score Anytime

*A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 15/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
Friday, November 11: 1:16am
TV: Sky Sports Main Event

Atlanta -3

Yes sir, I am picking the Atlanta Falcons to cover a spread on the road in the year 2022.

It sounds disgraceful and I’m a bit embarrassed to be in this situation, but it comes back to one word – stability.

PJ Walker has been named the Carolina starter but nobody was convinced of this right up until the media availability on Monday which tells you all you need to know.

They’ve not got a new head coach yet, their starting quarterback is merely a bridge option and they’re now coming home to play in front of a home crowd who are fed up with their approach.

All Atlanta have to do is be at 70% of themselves from last week’s defeat to the Chargers and they’ll cover.

Over 43.5 Points

The two teams have combined for twenty-four giveaways so far this season, meaning I’d expect an awful lot of short fields – which is just as well because neither quarterback is capable of dropping back and scanning a defense before firing gradually downfield.

Mariota really doesn’t throw a massive amount and has still managed to throw six picks. They’ve also lost six fumbles on the year – a figure only five teams can better.

Given the ferocity with which Patterson is running the ball and a clear indication that Walker has little else if not a big arm, I’d guess we’ll be seeing the overs hit.

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DJ Moore – Over 55.5 Receiving Yards

Primary receivers are a real issue for Atlanta now. AJ Terrell is one of the best corners in the league but in his absence and veteran Casey Heyward on IR, this group is paper thin.

The Chargers went to battle last week without Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. They relied upon sparingly used Josh Palmer and he had a career day with over 100 receiving yards.

DJ Moore is several notches above that, and given it’s a Thursday night game, he could do damage even if Terrell is forcing himself to play.

Marcus Mariota to Score Anytime

What Atlanta have become very good at is the mesh point.

They can run with Mariota and run with any of their tailbacks quite efficiently. So when they have several moving pieces on the backfield pre-snap, it’s almost impossible for someone to figure where the ball is.

In these moments, Mariota is now the fourth read for most linebackers.

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers betting tips:

    Atlanta -3
    Over 43.5 Points
    DJ Moore – Over 55.5 Receiving Yards
    Marcus Mariota to Score Anytime

    *A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 15/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

    All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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