NFL Tips: Paddy’s top trader serves up his week 11 Sunday best bets

Paddy Power's NFL trader Dan Whitty delivers his big hitting tips for week 12.

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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6.01pm: Titans @ Patriots – Patriots -6.5

TV: Sky Sports NFL

The Patriots are absolutely flying at the moment. They’ve won their last five, covering the spread in each game, and have leapfrogged the Bills to take 1st place in the AFC East. Are Bill Belichick and Mac Jones turning into another Brady-esque Pats juggernaut?

Jones is doing all he needs to get the offense moving and protecting the ball, while the defence is dominating their opposition – only allowing teams an average of 10 points per game during the winning run.

The Patriots will be leaning on their top-tier defense to shut down the Titans, who are very banged up at the skill positions with Derrick Henry and Julio Jones out and possibly AJ Brown joining them.

Tennesse have been struggling of late without their No.1 RB Henry, and if they are without their two star WRs too then it could be tough for Ryan Tannehill and co. to put up points. I’m happy to take the Pats to cover a TD and cement their place atop the AFC East.

9.06pm: Chargers @ Broncos – Chargers -2.5

After a bad run of fixtures, the Chargers finally let loose last Sunday night dropping 40 points on the Steelers. The Broncos are a very mediocre team this year, despite a bizarre upset of the Cowboys a couple of weeks back.

Their defense, which is supposed to be their strength, ranks towards the bottom of the league. They can’t stop the run and the secondary sits off receivers allowing the highest average depth of target in the league, and that’s great news for Justin Herbert and this Chargers team, who are built to pick apart teams like this.

They will be looking to lean on Austin Ekeler and his dual-threat ability on the ground and in the air. I think he’ll comfortably cover whatever receiving and rushing lines he has with a monster game.

Denver are a middling team with the odd good performance, while LA are solid with a high ceiling, and that’s why I’m happy to take the Chargers to win by a field goal.

9.26pm: Rams @ Packers – Rams moneyline

TV: Sky Sports NFL & Main Event

The LA Rams got their bye week at just the right time after slumping to two losses against San Francisco and Tennesee, but they should be back raring to go in this one as they head to Lambeau Field. Odell Beckham and Matty Stafford also had some much-needed time to some reps in so they hopefully won’t have their wires crossed like against the 49ers.

The Packers aren’t exactly a healthy team right now, Aaron Rodgers has a niggling toe injury, Aaron Jones has a knee injury and they’re on their 3rd string O-line. Aaron Donald and Von Miller will be looking to test that offensive line by getting Rodgers moving to see if that injured toe will affect his mobility.

This game looks like it will be a close one with both vying to get the No.1 seed for the playoffs, but I think the healthier Rams will put enough pressure on Rodgers to slow down the Packers offense and sneak away with a win

NFL tips

6.01pm: Titans @ Patriots – Patriots -6.5
9.06pm: Chargers @ Broncos – Chargers -2.5
9.26pm: Rams @ Packers – Rams moneyline

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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