NFL Week 15 Tips: Back the Pack to tame Bears in this 5/1 treble

There'll be a chilly reception for the Bears at Lambeau Field

The New England Patriots spent most of their post-game locker room discussion likely cursing the league for sending a team of officials they deemed to have cost them a morale-boosting victory over the Kansas City Chiefs.

There would have been excuses about how they were robbed, and that they simply fell on the wrong side of justice – were wronged by human error and how unfair it is.
Soon after, they would be pleading the same human error when searching for an excuse as to why Patriots officials were recording the Cincinnati Bengals’ coaching staff in their game in Week 14.

You used to think a week was a long time in football when your team would blissfully win a game they had no right to, before ultimately being beaten by two touchdowns by a team who had yet to notch a single victory.

Well, now an hour seems even longer in this league. All of this and more in Week 15.

CHICAGO, IL – DECEMBER 16: Khalil Mack #52 of the Chicago Bears completes a backward sack of Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers while being blocked by Jason Spriggs #78 at Soldier Field on December 16, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

 

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Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-3.5) – 10/11

The Bears have capitalised on a couple of teams going through somewhat of existential crises over the last few weeks, handing them simple wins over the Giants and the Dallas Cowboys, and while that can’t be taken away from them, context is very much needed here.

Allen Robinson is the best receiver in football at this moment in time not named Mike Evans and that will cause problems if Green Bay persist with their Cover 2 base as he’s a superb post route runner.

But outside of him, there’s pretty good matchups everywhere for Green Bay here, especially when they send pressure. Man for man, Trubisky is going to have to look at a hot route time and time again, making him susceptible to interceptions if he doesn’t occasionally throw one away – which he rarely does.

Green Bay win this by more than four.

Tom Brady

New England Patriots (-10) @ Cincinnati Bengals – 10/11

Ah, those Patriots.

While all the attention this week will be on their off-field antics, they’ll have rattled Cincinnati into changing all of their signals from the bench because of paranoia.

This will cause confusion for an offence already struggling, and a huge boost to a defence that has genuine claims of being the league’s best.

Tom Brady may not be the best anymore, but he’s certainly ten points better than the worst team in football.

TAMPA, FL – OCTOBER 21: O.J. Howard #80 and Jameis Winston #3 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers celebrate after a touchdown in the third quarter against the Cleveland Browns on October 21, 2018 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The Buccaneers won 26-23 in overtime. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) @ Detroit Lions – 10/11

The most amazing part of this matchup is that it’s so tailored for one team to exploit the other’s game plan.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven’t called a run play in what feels like four decades now, and the Lions front four are really only excellent at stuffing the aforementioned.

Behind that, they like to play a lot of man coverage and nothing else. No disguises, nothing. Jameis Winston is an enigma, but he will beat you if you don’t confuse him.

His arm strength outshines everyone bar Darius Slay in this Detroit secondary and they’re about to be made pay.

A Treble on these bets pays out at just under 6/1

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