Thanksgiving is here!
Yeah, ok, it might not be a holiday we celebrate in the UK, but do we really need an excuse to overeat and watch three NFL games back-to-back?
A rejuvenated Mitchell Trubisky travels to Ford Field to take on (possibly) Jeff Driskel in a fascinating NFC North test. Amazingly, we are 12 weeks in and the Buffalo Bills continue to astound everyone, they arrive at AT&T Stadium with an 8-3 record and have a two-game cushion for an AFC wildcard spot. And in the evening game, Sean Payton and the Saints will look for revenge after the Week 10 thumping they were given by the Falcons.
Currently, one game ahead of the Vikings and the Packers, nothing but a win will do in this heated NFC South clash.
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – NOVEMBER 10: Darius Slay #23 of the Detroit Lions defends Allen Robinson #12 of the Chicago Bears during the second half at Soldier Field on November 10, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by David Banks/Getty Images)
Bears @ Lions, 5:30pm
When you can’t fully trust both two QBs, we could be in for a fun start to the evening’s festivities. In Trubisky’s last three games he has five touchdowns and three interceptions, with three of those scores coming against the Lions at Soldier Field.
Last week against the Giants was only his fifth game throwing over 200 yards and despite his hip injury, he is looking much improved – although it was against the Giants D.
The Lions are ranked 30th against the pass and tied 25th for points conceded.
If he is fit – the Lions had to work out QBs on Tuesday – Driskel will hope to improve in his return of four TDs and four INTs in five games.
Trust the home side to score at least once and the Bears to dominate the scoreboard.
Back 4+ touchdowns in the game 19/20
ARLINGTON, TX – SEPTEMBER 30: The Dallas Cowboys logo at AT&T Stadium on September 30, 2018 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Bills @ Cowboys, 9:30pm
Whenever the Cowboys have played a team with playoff ambitions, except the Eagles, they have lost, with their five wins coming against teams with a combined win total of just 16.
Taking on the 8-3 Bills, it’s hard to understand why Dallas are so heavily favoured.
Four of their victories have come on the road, so Josh Allen will arrive in Texas with no fear. The Bills QB has only one interception in six games, but five TDs in his last two.
Giving up only 213 passing yards per game ranks the Cowboys sixth in the NFL, but in four games where Allen has scored two touchdowns, he only needed a max of 219 yards.
His rushing will be a factor too, making him a consistent threat even if the passing game doesn’t get the ball moving. Don’t expect the Bills to fall behind too far. They might lose to the Cowboys, but the home side don’t have a history of blowing teams away.
Back the Bills with the 6.5+ spread 10/11
NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – AUGUST 09: Deonte Harris #11 of the New Orleans Saints during a preseason game at the Mercedes Benz Superdome on August 09, 2019 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
Saints @ Falcons, 1:20am
Although they rank 19th in the NFL, the 3-8 Atlanta Falcons still average 22 points per game this season. Since their bye week and the changes the coaching staff made, they have put up 70 in three games.
The Saints themselves concede 20.9 points on average, but, including the 26-9 loss to the Falcons, they have shipped 74 points in the last three weeks.
Both teams have no love lost for each other, the rivalry is real, but so is the improvement for the home side. They may have no hope of reaching the playoffs, but the Falcons will love nothing more than sweeping the Saints.
This looks like it could be a shoot-out, with two pocket passing QBs looking to go for over 300 yards.
Back both team to score 20 points – 19/20
Back this treble for a return of over 6/1
As a little Thanksgiving bonus, back Latavius Murray to take advantage of his snaps to score an anytime touchdown at 8/5. Last week in seven attempts he rushed for 64 runs and a touchdown.
Give thanks for great NFL odds at PaddyPower.com