I’m not blowing my own horn here, but given the amount of comments when last week’s winning treble went out stating that us here in Power Tower knew nothing about the NFL, I might just rub it in a small bit.
So after going three-for-three last week, the pressure is on to produce again and again. After all, a broken clock is right about very expertly-produced spread selections twice a day. I think.
Right, moving on.
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – AUGUST 22: (L-R) B.J. Dubose #90, Audie Cole #57 and Danielle Hunter #99 of the Minnesota Vikings line up against the Oakland Raiders during the preseason game on August 22, 2014 at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings defeated the Raiders 20-12. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)
Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) @ Green Bay Packers – (19/20)
Garrett Bradbury is Jason Kelce. Garrett Bradbury is Jeff Saturday. Garrett Bradbury is Nick Hardwick – and Garrett Bradbury is going to occupy that huge Mike Daniels-shaped void that is in the middle of the Green Bay Packers defensive front.
Now, the Vikings front took Matt Ryan down four times, and given the Packers front were torn apart by Chicago’s pressure, this one might be a long day for Aaron Rodgers, whose ability to change everything at the line has been restricted to a degree.
Minnesota will control the clock here, and I don’t expect Green Bay to be successful on early running downs, so getting 2.5 points might be the play, even if this new offensive scheme that didn’t look like much in Chicago, will be better at home.
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – AUGUST 24: Arizona Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury on the field before the preseason game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on August 24, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)
Arizona Cardinals (+12.5) @ Baltimore Ravens – (10/11)
It’s not a fluke that Lamar Jackson did what he did. Even when factoring in the opposition, his 85% completion rate when his expected completion rate was just 60% is outrageous.
And it’s very hard to pick flaws in their defensive approach. Because I do believe Baltimore will put up 30 points in this encounter, meaning Arizona need at least 18.
Thankfully, there were drives when Baltimore looked very shaky. It was the 11 personnel grouping – where Mami utilised three or more receivers on the field. Baltimore has massive depth on their d-line, but when you force them into nickel, they’re nowhere near as effective.
And what is it exactly that Kliff Kingsbury is known for? The air-raid. This is the perfect storm, and I’d like to think bettors for overreacting to these two teams’ results in the opening week.
Christian Kirk will have a huge game here.
HOUSTON, TX – DECEMBER 24: A Houston Texans helmet on the turf before the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at NRG Stadium on December 24, 2016 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)
Jacksonville Jaguars (+8.5) @ Houston Texans – (10/11)
Have you ever seen a Bill O’Brien offence? They do not steamroll teams when they should.
And an even bigger concern is that JJ Watt looked nothing like himself. With Clowney gone to Seattle, this raises serious concerns about their pass rush.
The only reason the Jags get this many points, of course, is that because Nick Foles is out for the reason. The replacement came in and played lights-out football and while I’m not suggesting he’s going to be flawless, he can carry out a simplified offence to get field goals.
And field goals are probably all we’ll need to see this spread land if Bill O’Brien continues to run on first down when he has a lead. Thanks, Bill.
Vikings +2.5 @ 19/20
Cardinals +12.5 @ 10/11
Jaguars +8.5 @ 10/11
A treble on these bets pays out at over 6/1 on PaddyPower.com
-
*All odds correct at time of posting