I’m not blowing my own horn here, but given the amount of comments when last week’s winning treble went out stating that us here in Power Tower knew nothing about the NFL, I might just rub it in a small bit.
So after going three-for-three last week, the pressure is on to produce again and again. After all, a broken clock is right about very expertly-produced spread selections twice a day. I think.
Right, moving on.
Garrett Bradbury is Jason Kelce. Garrett Bradbury is Jeff Saturday. Garrett Bradbury is Nick Hardwick – and Garrett Bradbury is going to occupy that huge Mike Daniels-shaped void that is in the middle of the Green Bay Packers defensive front.
Now, the Vikings front took Matt Ryan down four times, and given the Packers front were torn apart by Chicago’s pressure, this one might be a long day for Aaron Rodgers, whose ability to change everything at the line has been restricted to a degree.
Minnesota will control the clock here, and I don’t expect Green Bay to be successful on early running downs, so getting 2.5 points might be the play, even if this new offensive scheme that didn’t look like much in Chicago, will be better at home.
It’s not a fluke that Lamar Jackson did what he did. Even when factoring in the opposition, his 85% completion rate when his expected completion rate was just 60% is outrageous.
And it’s very hard to pick flaws in their defensive approach. Because I do believe Baltimore will put up 30 points in this encounter, meaning Arizona need at least 18.
Thankfully, there were drives when Baltimore looked very shaky. It was the 11 personnel grouping – where Mami utilised three or more receivers on the field. Baltimore has massive depth on their d-line, but when you force them into nickel, they’re nowhere near as effective.
And what is it exactly that Kliff Kingsbury is known for? The air-raid. This is the perfect storm, and I’d like to think bettors for overreacting to these two teams’ results in the opening week.
Christian Kirk will have a huge game here.
Have you ever seen a Bill O’Brien offence? They do not steamroll teams when they should.
And an even bigger concern is that JJ Watt looked nothing like himself. With Clowney gone to Seattle, this raises serious concerns about their pass rush.
The only reason the Jags get this many points, of course, is that because Nick Foles is out for the reason. The replacement came in and played lights-out football and while I’m not suggesting he’s going to be flawless, he can carry out a simplified offence to get field goals.
And field goals are probably all we’ll need to see this spread land if Bill O’Brien continues to run on first down when he has a lead. Thanks, Bill.
*All odds correct at time of posting