The Patriots don’t have a deep threat without Josh Gordon and their defence will keep Brandin Cooks on a tight leash. That makes the under appeal.
Belichick traditionally defers if the Patriots win the coin toss, but so far in the playoffs this season he’s taken the ball. In both playoff games this year they’ve got out to a 7-0 lead, establishing the run early and controlling the time of possession.
The Rams also tend to defer so, whatever the outcome of the coin toss, it will be likely the Patriots have the chance to score first. That’s worth noting for your first TD bets!
Also worth noting (probably not) is that the Patriots are the ‘away’ team in the Super Bowl, so will get to call the coin toss and Matthew Slater always picks heads… which has worked twice so far this year.
This is quite simple. The Rams are poor against run, but also poor against pass-catching backs.
The Rams D will try and put pressure up the middle on Brady with Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh, which means Brady will have to throw the ball quickly to avoid getting sacked. That should lead to lots of quick-short passes from Brady to the likes of James White, Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski.
Gronk throughout the season has looked old and slow – half the time it looks like he’s running with a baby-grand piano on his back! But he was better against the Chiefs and now has been given two weeks to get fit for the Super Bowl.
He was also break-dancing at a Super Bowl media day this week so he’s not looking too stiff and will probably be pumped full of pain killers for what could very well be his last game before retirement.
At least that’ll mean he’ll never have to play safety on a Hail Mary protect D again.
The Patriots are a ‘bend don’t break’ defence. They’re happy giving up short-yardage plays as long as they prevent big splash plays down the field to speedy receivers.
On top of that, they know all about Brandin Cooks having had him on their side last year, so I’m sure they’ll try and shut him down.
This should open the door for Robert Woods, who primarily plays in the slot for the Rams, and should pick up lots of yardage in the middle of the field. I expect a decent game from him, and he might even be a bit of value at 50/1 for the MVP.
Plenty of #SuperBowl Novelty Specials up on site:
Billy McFarland to attend Super Bowl LIII 100/1
— Paddy Power (@paddypower) January 31, 2019
With Maroon 5 playing at half-time, we make ‘What Lovers Do’ the 5/4 favourite to be first song and that’s my tip.
Apparently they’ve played 37 gigs since May and have played this 37 times!
The general rule of thumb when somebody is doing the HT gig is that they don’t play a new song, but rather go for a classic, so I wouldn’t put somebody off backing something like Moves Like Jagger at 9/2 either.
Gladys Knight is singing the National Anthem and we have the line at 111.5 seconds with the under at 1/2. I like the unders here. Gladys is old school and I don’t think she’ll milk it the way some more contemporary singers do. Christina Aguilera can turn one note into 16!
The other popular novelty is the colour of Gatorade to be thrown over winning coach. We make ‘clear’ the 15/8 favourite.
I read a story recently where Todd Gurley said that the team’s favourite flavour was Ice Punch, and that’s clear, so that probably explains why it’s favourite!
Read more on the Super Bowl:
There’s a few other novelty markets priced up on paddypower.com, and everyone loves a novelty bet, so have a look at the rest if these don’t tickle your fancy.
Donald Trump to buy the winning team McDonalds? It’s 33/1!
- Longest Touchdown Scored: Under 46.5 – 10/11
- Team to Score First: Patriots – 4/5
- James White Total Receptions: Over 6 – 11/10
- Rob Gronkowski Total Receptions: Over 4 – 6/5
- Robert Woods Receiving Yards: Over 71.5 – 10/11
- Half-Time Show First Song: Like Lovers Do – 5/4
- Length of National Anthem: Under 111.5 Seconds – 1/2
- First Gatorade Colour Dunked Over Winning Coach: Clear – 15/8
*All odds correct at time of posting