Seattle Seahawks @ LA Rams: Seahawks +10 – 10/13
In all the turnover on the Seahawks roster in recent years, there’s never been a suggestion that quarterback Russell Wilson would be on his way out of Seattle.
For some, the 29-year-old tries to do way too much, and that lands his team in trouble occasionally, but given the kind of protection he’s been served with for much of his career in the Pacific northwest, you can understand why the QB is inclined to look out for himself.
His Seahawks are 10 point underdogs this week. That’s the biggest number they’ve ever had on their side in his time there. The three times they’ve been anywhere close to this, they’ve covered. Pete Carroll has their defence looking rejuvenated having lost a lot of its star names, and the running game looks to be heading in the right direction, though Chris Carson may miss this game with an injury.
The Rams have had four of their last five games on the road, haven’t had their bye yet, and have a monster match up in Mexico City next week against the Chiefs to consider.
They’ve also just not looked as good in recent weeks as they did earlier in the season. The Pack had their number but Ty Montgomery threw it away, the Saints let them back in before winning last week, and they’re 1-4 against the spread in their last five games.
The Seahawks are a great bet as double-digit dogs this week.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts: Jaguars +3 – 5/6
Naturally enough, the market isn’t too hot on the Jags after they’ve whiffed as favourite on spread after spread by huge margins this season. Coming off their bye, they expect to have Leonard Fournette back, and though they’re still saddling up with Blake Bortles at QB, the swing against them looks too big given how much is on the line in this game.
Jacksonville’s defence hasn’t played to the same level as last year, but they still have the same players in place, so they can pull out a big win when it’s needed, and a loss here would virtually end their season.
The Colts are going in the right direction under Frank Reich, and Andrew Luck is making them much more competitive than they ought to be given the receiving talent they’ve got.
But the defence, despite Darius Leonard’s sensational rookie season, is leaking points – 42 of them to the Jets just a few weeks ago – so how you’d have confidence in them covering a field goal here, I’m not sure.
Take the Jaguars with the points.