San Francisco 49ers v Washington Redskins: Over 46.5 points – Evens
Washington picked up a stack of injuries in that heartbreaking 29-20 loss on the road to Kansas City in Week 4. They got lucky with the bye week afterwards, but we’re still certain the middle of the field being open for Hoyer this weekend and with Josh Norman out at cornerback after fracturing a rib, the Niners should be able to push the ball downfield a bit more.
Washington’s offence is very balanced and have plenty of explosiveness amongst the skill positions to keep the scoreboard ticking over. The forecast has a small chance of showers, but they shouldn’t hit until after the game around 5pm local time.
Expect more fireworks than a White House Cabinet meeting at this one!
Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5) points v Los Angeles Rams – 5/6
The Jags have been kind to us this year covering the spread both times we picked them and we’re going back to the well in Week 6.
This spread tells us the market rates the Rams squad slightly better than the Jags and we don’t agree with that. We won’t argue that Goff has hugely improved year-on-year.
However, when he faced a top 10 defence (Seattle), his completion percentage was less than 50%. He also committed multiple turnovers and they scored less than 20 – all firsts for the Rams this year.
The Jags pass defence is the best in the league and should shut LA down.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Arizona Cardinals: Over 45.5 points – Evens
Carson Palmer is averaging the most passing attempts for all QB’s in the league and Tampa Bay is allowing QB’s to complete 70% of their passes.
The Bucs pass rush is non-existent with only four sacks on the year and even coming off long rest after a Thursday night game, they shouldn’t expose the Cardinals poor offensive line.
Arizona defence isn’t of the same quality of years past, surrendering 25 points a game in 2017. Finally, playing the most favourable conditions in the NFL can only help our case of a high scorer here.
Denver Broncos (-11.5) points v New York Giants – 21/20
It’s no secret that we’re a fan of this Broncos squad, but this must be the first time in years we’ve backed two double digit favourites in one season (Oakland -13 Week 2). The Giants went from the trendy pick to win the NFC East to now people calling 0-16 season in a short five weeks.
They’ve no wide receivers left, their offensive line is a group of turnstiles and they are bottom three in the league in total rushing. We just can’t see how they score on a Broncos defence coming off a bye.
Throw in that Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is suspended for the Giants and their pass defence takes a huge hit. Don’t be surprised if New York lay a goose egg this weekend.
* All odds correct at time of posting.