*Odds quoted on the widget are Non Runner Money Back prices which means that if your selection does not run in the race for whatever reason – you’ll get your stake back
Third Time Lucki has drifted in our Non Runner Money Back betting market after being beaten by Alan King’s Edwardstone in the Kingmaker Novices’ Chase at Warwick.
WELCOME TO PADDY POWER NEWS!
It was the second time this season that Edwardstone comprehensively beat Dan Skelton’s charge after a storming victory in December’s Henry VIII Novices’ Chase at Sandown.
The Arkle was the subject of discussion on this week’s episode of our Cheltenham Countdown podcast series, and two of Paddy’s pundits can’t see any reason to think Third Time Lucki can live up to his name and get the better of his rival at Cheltenham next month. You can listen to the show in full BELOW.
STUDY THE FORM IN STYLE
- CHECK OUT OUR SNAZZY RACECARDS FOR EVERY RACE, EVERY DAY
“I just don’t see Third Time Lucki turning it round with Edwardstone.
“I thought he looked really good in the Lightning Novices’ Chase at Doncaster but that was off a break of almost 60 days and I was surprised Dan went back to war with him as quick as he did two weeks later.
“He’s looked to me a really good horse fresh and they’ve taken that freshness off him now.”
“I was surprised how good a race the Kingmaker was. It was really well run as you suspected it might have been given the makeup of the field with For Pleasure going on.
“It panned out really well with no excuses for any runner and Edwardstone was really impressive with everything he did. I was slightly concerned that coming back to a sharpish tack on good ground might see him outside of his comfort zone but he wasn’t at all. He looked in control throughout the race.
“Third Time Lucki was set up to beat him. Someone who was there said there were long faces in the enclosure afterwards. I think the Skeltons thought that Third Time Lucki could get one over on Edwardstone.
WANT FAST RESULTS? NO PROBLEM!
- WE HAVE ALL THE HORSE RACING FAST RESULTS YOU’LL EVER WANT
“If you look at the pattern of his form last season he didn’t get any better from this stage. He’s always travelled strong in his races and they found the key to him to a degree as he was happy to be held up at Doncaster and again he was held up and jumped well but he had every chance and he’s been beaten over 4l.
“He wouldn’t have needed the run at all having come off that Doncaster win recently. There’s nothing in that to suggest he can turn the form around with Edwardstone. He didn’t look enormously happy at Cheltenham last season. He handles the track perfectly well with two wins this season but he’s never exactly come up the hill. When he won first time out the race was stone cold and on the second start, Harry [Skelton] steadied him into the second last but he didn’t exactly see that out thoroughly.
“Going to Cheltenham is not going to be a positive for Third Time Lucki over Edwardstone. All it takes is one mistake to throw it all out of kilter but there’s no obvious thing to hang a turnaround in form on.”
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
- Like Paddy Power News? Or maybe you just like to whinge? Tell us what you think in our reader survey
- Cheltenham Tips: Your ultimate antepost betting guide to the 2022 Festival
- Cheltenham Tips: 5 to thrive as Paddy goes Non Runner Money Back on all races
- Cheltenham Tips: A best bet for every day of the Festival
- Cheltenham Tips: 6 best-backed picks to get your kicks at the Festival
- Gallop over to Paddy Power News for all the latest racing tips
- Cheltenham Festival 2022 day-by-day schedule and guide to the big races
- Cheltenham Festival: Paddy goes Non Runner Money Back on all races
- Cheltenham Festival: The best-backed horses in Paddy’s book for the Championship races