The Flat is back – and the Lincoln Handicap looks a cracker to headline the opening day of the turf season.
Mr Professor is bidding to retain the title, but history is against the Amo Racing runner as there have been just two repeat winners in the history of the Heritage Handicap and the double was last achieved in 1958.
The Lincoln has also been a tough gig for favourites, with just six market leaders justifying their place at the head of the betting in this century.
Lincoln Handicap odds can be found on the Paddy Power website and Paddy Power app, otherwise key historical trends from the last 10 renewals and tips based off the big-race stats are below.
Lincoln Handicap 2025 trends
AGE
- 10/10 were aged between four and seven
Beringer and Sean can be scrubbed from calculations as they are older than recent winners.
DISTANCE FORM
- 10/10 had between one to 16 runs over eight furlongs
Experienced Fantastic Fox looks exposed over the trip having had more than 16 runs at the distance.
FLAT FORM
- 10/10 had between four and 32 runs on the level
Dual Identity, Mr Professor and this month’s Irish Lincolnshire winner Orandi appear to have too many miles on the clock.
- 10/10 had one to six wins
Two Tempting is the sole runner in the field with more than six wins on his CV.
GROUP FORM
- 10/10 had not won a Group 3 or higher
Orne bagged the Group 3 Horris Hill Stakes in his juvenile campaign.
JOCKEY
- 10/10 were not won by a 5lb claiming jockey
Rising star Warren Fentiman has been booked on Toimy Son but a 5lb claimer has not ridden the winner in more than 10 years.
LAST TIME OUT
- 10/10 had last run within 21 to 198 days
It will be 202 days since Old Cock last took to the track.
- 10/10 not on Good to Firm
Magnum Opus finished fourth in the Burj Azizi at Meydan on Good to Firm earlier this month.
TS Rating
- 10/10 achieved a TS of 84 or higher in their career
Alpha Crucis, Apiarist, Dashing Darcey and Godwinson are the latest to fall short.
WEIGHT
- 10/10 carried between 8st 8lbs and 9st 9lbs
Galeron, Midnight Gun and Thunder Run are carrying too much weight and can be scrubbed from calculations.
Lincoln Handicap 2025 trends verdict
After going through a whole host of trends, we are left with four horses that tick all the boxes:
LATTAM
Last year’s runner-up is bidding to go one better and is only 2lbs higher in the handicap compared to 12 months ago.
NATIVE WARRIOR
The Karl Burke-trained runner carries the Wathnan Racing colours and is lightly raced with just seven previous outings under his hooves.
OLIVER SHOW
A maiden on turf, the five-year-old gelding has race fitness on his side after a spell in Bahrain over the winter.
WHIP CRACKER
The Cracksman colt has also failed to win on turf to date and warmed up for this with an encouraging performance on the all-weather earlier this month.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
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