Horse Racing Tips: Paddy’s pundits best bets in our Boxing Day cheat sheet for ITV Racing

Paddy's epic Cheat Sheet is the gift that keeps on giving you Thursday's TV Tips.

It’s showtime, baby!

We haven’t seen the gee-gees in full flow since Sunday but to make up for it, there are roughly 345 meetings across the UK and Ireland on Boxing Day as the flag falls on the racing fiestas for the next few days.

Woof!

 

To free up some extra headspace for you, we’ve invited the three wise men of Matt Chapman, Mick Fitzgerald, and Ruby Walsh to zip through the ITV Racing extravaganza at Kempton, Aintree & Wetherby while the Timeform boffins have been busier than Marcus Rashford’s ‘advisers’ with their clock-watching chicanery.

The King George VI Chase at Kempton (2.30pm) is the feature race of the day but the undercard isn’t too shabby either. If Nicky Henderson’s nerves can take it, the lesser-spotted wonder horse Constitution Hill is set to grace the racecourse for the first time in what feels like about five years in the preceding Christmas Hurdle (1.55pm).

Meanwhile, our pundits’ mission – which they’ve grudgingly accepted – is to bring us more festive cheer and winners on Boxing Day! Particularly winners.

Let’s see if they deliver.

Matt Chapman

Mick Fitzgerald

Timeform

Ruby Walsh

Matt Chapman

ES PERFECTO doesn’t have as much potential as some of these but the going is perfect for him and he has loads of chasing experience. Was third in the race last year and won at Kempton last time out.

Mick Fitzgerald

Es Perfecto ran in this race last year and finished a good third to Blow Your Wad then and is only 3lbs higher in the weighs. Fire Flyer also has his chance.

Ruby Walsh

Leader In The Park doesn’t have to make the running but I’d like to see him pressing the pace from half-way and use his jumping ability.

Timeform

FIRE FLYER looks the part for chasing and there was plenty to like about his first attempt at Exeter three weeks ago.

Matt Chapman

I expect strong stayer POTTERS CHARM to prove too strong. He  scored well over 2m5f at Cheltenham last time and can sit and pounce late. He’s easily officially the best horse in the race at this stage.

Mick Fitzgerald

Potters Charm sets the standard even if there’s a slight concern he drops back to 2m. He did win a 2m bumper at Ffos Las on heavy ground last season though by a wide margin.

Ruby Walsh

Potters Charm should be well suited by slow ground and the long straight at Aintree. He’s the best horse in the race.

Timeform

POTTERS CHARM is yet to taste defeat under Rules and upped his game further when scoring in decisive fashion at Cheltenham last month. He can extend his winning run.

Matt Chapman

It’s very hard to get away from THE JUKEBOX MAN who was the best of these over hurdles. He did really well at Newbury last time on his chasing debut and should still be very hard to catch out in front under Ben Jones.

Mick Fitzgerald

The Jukebox Man jumped really well over 2m 4f last time when winning at Newbury last time, but he hung so badly left there that a right-handed track like Kempton is a concern. He’s the pick but it wouldn’t be a shock if he’s beaten.

Ruby Walsh

The Jukebox Man is a tentative pick. He has the form but the tendency to jump left is a concern. His chase form is stronger than Hyland’s recent win.

Timeform

THE JUKEBOX MAN looks like making an even better chaser than hurdler judged on last month’s 2½m Newbury Grade 2 success. He’ll be hard to beat back at 3m.

Matt Chapman

SOME SCOPE is interesting. A weight of 10st 2lb will suit and he might have more to give now he’s had a wind operation after a poor effort at Cheltenham first time out this season. He ran all right when fourth in the Rehearsal Chase last time and can hopefully build on that.

Mick Fitzgerald

Sine Nomine can get back to her best after her Foxhunters Chase win at Cheltenham. She unseated on her seasonal run but is locally trained and trainer Fiona Needham will have targeted this contest for her.

Ruby Walsh

Tahmuras has yet to fulfil his potential over fences but this looks like the type of contest that suit him. A tentative pick.

Timeform

CRUZ CONTROL had a really good first season over fences and with a spin over hurdles under his belt, he’s taken to regain the winning thread.

Matt Chapman

The mash up everyone has wanted to see between former Champion Hurdle hero CONSTITUTION HILL and rising star mare Lossiemouth. Lossiemouth has won nine of her ten starts and Constitution Hill is unbeaten in eight races so this really is special. Don’t let me down Nicky Henderson and Nico de Boinville!

Mick Fitzgerald

The wonder horse Constitution Hill seems back to his best and I watched him schooling the other day and he was brilliant. He’s still only a seven-year-old and, despite all the obstacles he’s had to overcome since we last saw him on a racetrack, I think he’ll win.

Ruby Walsh

Lossiemouth looks to be in great form but this race revolves  around what version of Constitution Hill turns up. He has achieved far more than Lossiemouth has and if he’s 100 per cent ready, he’s the best horse in the race. We’re not going to know until just before the off. Keep an eye on the market and if the money comes, he’s worth siding with.

Timeform

LOSSIEMOUTH has less to prove than the returning Constitution Hill who made it 8-8 over hurdles in this race 12 months ago. The Irish raider can take advantage if Constitution Hill is not at his very best after a year off.

Matt Chapman

The three French challengers are the three lowest rated horses in the race and yet IL EST FRANCAIS has been smashed up for the race over the last week. A huge run in the Kauto Star Novices Chase put him on everyone’s radar. If he can overcome the ‘bleeding’ issues he’s had recently, then he can lead them home from the front.

Mick Fitzgerald

Il Est Francais would have been my fancy but he burst a blood vessel last time when beaten in France. Spillane’s Tower is a worthy market leader and if his trainer feels the ground is soft enough for him to run. He’s the one I’d like to be on.

Ruby Walsh

By a process of elimination, I’ve come down on the side of the young and improving Spillane’s Tower.

Timeform

SPILLANE’S TOWER made a very encouraging return to action in the John Durkan and looks the way to go with further progress likely now back at 3m. Betfair Chase runner-up Grey Dawning looks best of the British.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at the time of publishing but subject to change.

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