It has been 23 years since Aidan O’Brien last saddled the winner of the Ebor Handicap and the Ballydoyle master is hoping Queenstown can end his long wait for success.
The Galileo gelding has plenty of useful form behind superstar stablemate Kyprios in the book, but questions will be asked whether he fits the profile of previous winners.
The Ebor, which boasts a £500,000 prize pot, is one of the most gruelling and competitive handicaps on the calendar and a bit of luck in running will be needed as a maximum field take their chance.
Ebor Handicap odds can be found on the Paddy Power website and Paddy Power app, otherwise key historical trends from the last 10 renewals and a tip based off the big-race stats are below.
Ebor Handicap 2024 trends
RATING
- 10/10 were rated 99 or higher
A total of six horses – My Mate Mozzie, Chillingham, Kihavah, Iron Lion, Oneforthegutter and Forza Orta – can already be scrubbed from calculations.
AGE
- 10/10 were aged four to seven
Alfred Boucher and Not So Sleepy – potentially making his final career appearance – fail to meet this trend at the age of eight and 12 respectively.
WEIGHT
- 10/10 carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs
The top three in the weights – Relentless Voyager, Queenstown and Wise Eagle – all fall short by virtue of being lumbered with more than the higher end of the scale.
FLAT FORM
- 10/10 had at least seven previous runs on the level
Magical Zoe is more often seen over hurdles and, as a result, has only had three spins on the Flat.
- 9/10 had at least three previous wins on the level
Naqeeb is the latest to be scratched from proceedings as the 105-rated runner has only won twice.
DISTANCE FORM
- 9/10 had at least one previous run over 14 furlongs
Crystal Delight, Burdett Road and Epic Poet have never had a try over the Ebor trip.
LAST TIME OUT
- 8/10 finished in the top five on their previous outing
Yashin can be scratched after finishing 11th in the Northumberland Plate last time out.
DRAW
- 8/10 were drawn in stall 12 or higher
Hipop De Loire (2), Onesmoothoperator (5), Ziggy (4) and Sea King (9) all fall short on this trend.
Ebor Handicap 2024 trends verdict
The vote goes to FAIRBANKS, who is 2lbs well in, according to official ratings, and meets all the trends.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
Read More on the Ebor Handicap 2024
- Gallop over to Paddy Power News for all the latest horse racing tips
- When is the Ebor Handicap? York date, start time, runners and betting
- Ebor Handicap tips and runner-by-runner guide to York 3.35 on Saturday
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