Horse Racing Tips: Paul Jacobs’ value plays across the tracks on Sunday

Value's the name of the game when PJ's in town.

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Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Tips

14:10 Curragh – Cowardofthecounty
14:25 Stratford – Time To Tinker
15:45 Curragh – Dagoda
16:27 Redcar – Hoof It Hoof It

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

14:10 Curragh – Cowardofthecounty

Aidan O’Brien has won this Group Three 11 times since the turn of the century and Camille Pissarro will try and make it a round dozen. A hugely disappointing 11th of 22 in the Coventry Stakes, where he ran way too free early on, and paid for it from about a furlong and a half out, a small improvement on his previous second to Arizona Blaze in the Marble Hill Stakes would make him the main player here.

However, COWARDOFTHECOUNTY raced on the opposite side of the track at Royal Ascot and finished just over two lengths ahead of O’Brien horse, but was well touted beforehand and was by far my pick of the paddock that day, and still looks unfurnished. However, a slow start saw him on the back foot, and although he made a significant move from the two furlong marker, the son of Kodi Bear paid for that effort in the final 150 yards. He has apparently thrived since then and with this being just a third career start I think he can confirm that form and improve significantly so Joseph can put one over his dad!

14:25 Stratford – Time To Tinker

The reason I wanted to play in this first division of an extended three and quarter mile handicap hurdle was because I wanted to oppose the likes of Fine By Me (doubtful stayer, but fairly treated) and the Nicky Henderson trained Propelled who looks fairly ordinary despite significant connections and may well be over bet.

TIME TO TINKER has hugely uninspiring form figures of 5PPP5, but we need to take a look at the bigger picture to assess his claims here off top weight. It was just over a year ago that he was contesting class three events up and down the country and running well off marks in the low 120’s. After starting off 2024 with a fair fifth of 12 behind Jaytee at Doncaster, his form has taken a nosedive as noted by those form figures, but so has his handicap mark, slipping from a high of 129 in November 2022 to his current rating of 97,

Jack Hogan takes 3lbs off his back to get him below a three figure mark. That last run under his current jockey was not without promise and the son of Stowaway ran well for a long way in a class five event at Bangor, only backing out after the second last.

 

15:45 Curragh – Dagoda

There are seven three-year-olds taking on the older fillies here, and with plenty of pace, I was looking for a hold up charge on the prevailing good ground. Of the younger generation, I have the most regard for Glen Princess, who was a ready made winner of a maiden at Gowran Park showing a nice turn of foot close home.

That form has been boosted by a third win since and a handicap mark of 79 looks very fair for Jonny Murtagh’s charge. She is respected along with Four Blondes and both should be huge dangers to my selection DAGODA.
This bay mare is wholly more exposed than most of her 12 rivals, with 30 races under her belt, and her two runs over a mile recently are inconclusive. However, at the outset of her career she was campaigned up to a mile and a half, a third to Falcon Eight here at the back end of 2022 shows how good she is and that she does stay.
Off for 62 days, she ran a nice warm up for this when two and a quarter lengths off Indigo Five, who re-opposes here, with Dagoda is 11lbs better off for a two and a quarter length beating.

16:27 Redcar – Hoof It Hoof It

This is the type of low class handicap that I love and the fact it’s a class six event will tell you that each of 15 runners only win in their turn at the very best. I initially had a short list of seven, which I whittled down to three, with the ‘value’ tag attached to HOOF IT OF IT.

Tim Easterby’s runner has steadily been edging into form, after unrealistically running in a class four fillies’ event on her seasonal debut, and predictably ending 11th of the 13 runners. Since then the daughter of Prince of Lir has run in two class five events, in the latter of which she was a huge eye catcher, finishing off nicely behind Miss Stormy Night at Nottingham. Down to a class six for the first time in six outings (a race she won) this looks to be a suitable opportunity for her and the four-year-old is the best bet of the afternoon.

Paul Jacobs Horse Racing Tips

14:10 Curragh – Cowardofthecounty
14:25 Stratford – Time To Tinker
15:45 Curragh – Dagoda
16:27 Redcar – Hoof It Hoof It

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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