Allaho is bidding to become a three-time winner of the Grade 2 Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase at Thurles on Sunday.
The 10-year-old returns to the intermediate trip of 2m4f after fading to a third-place finish in last month’s King George VI Chase at Kempton.
Envoi Allen, the winner of last year’s Ryanair Chase in Allaho’s absence, is the pick of the opposition on official ratings, but can he get the better of his major rival… or can another contender emerge from the pack?
Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase odds can be found on the Paddy Power website and Paddy Power app, otherwise key trends from the last 10 renewals and a tip based off the big-race stats are below.
Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase trends
AGE
Nine of the last 10 winners of the Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase were seven, eight or nine years of age.
COURSE FORM
A previous outing at Thurles does not seem too important as only four winners since 2014 met this trend, while three were already successful at the track.
DISTANCE FORM
Eight winners in the last 10 years had at least five previous runs over trips ranging from 2m3f to 2m5f so experience over the intermediate distance is key.
GRADED FORM
Proven ability at this level appears crucial as eight of the last 10 winners already boasted a victory at Grade 2 level or higher on their CV.
LAST TIME OUT
Just three winners in the last 10 years were successful on their last run before heading to Thurles. A more important statistic appears to be nine winners having had their latest outing within the previous 56 days.
ODDS
Paddy Power’s betting for the Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase is rarely incorrect as the last 10 winners could all be found in the top three in the market, while five of those were favourites.
RATING
A quality horse is required to win the race as six winners since 2014 were rated 160 or higher.
SEASON FORM
You also want to be looking for a horse that has at least two runs under their hooves in the current campaign as seven of the last 10 winners met this trend.
Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase 2024 trends verdict
It is hardly surprising that the classiest horse in the race, ALLAHO, meets the most trends. The dual winner is the odds-on favourite and forecast backers might be interested to know that stablemate Capodanno is the best of the rest in terms of the stats.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
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