Lawlor’s Of Naas Novice Hurdle 2024 trends and stats for Naas 1.42 on Friday

Can past results forecast the next winner?

Croke Park

The Lawlor’s Of Naas Novice Hurdle was rearranged after Naas course officials were forced to abandon last weekend’s meeting due to fog – but this year’s renewal promises to be well worth waiting for.

Willie Mullins fields a quartet of runners – Chapeau De Soleil, Ile Atlantique, Lecky Watson and Readin Tommy Wrong – Gordon Elliott saddles Firefox and Croke Park, while Henry de Bromhead relies on An Tobar.

The Lawlor’s Of Naas Novice Hurdle has produced a number of subsequent Cheltenham Festival winners including Envoi Allen and Bob Olinger so it should be an informative contest.

Lawlor’s of Naas Novice Hurdle odds can be found on the Paddy Power website and Paddy Power app, otherwise key trends from the last 10 renewals and a tip based off the big-race stats are below.

Lawlor’s of Naas Novice Hurdle trends

AGE

Nine of the last 10 winners of the Lawlor’s of Naas Novice Hurdle were aged between five or six. Champ Kiely (2023) was the only horse to defy this trend.

DISTANCE FORM

Seven of the last 10 winners had at least one previous run over an intermediate distance between 2m3f to 2m5f, with all those being successful.

GRADED FORM

Seven winners since 2014 had previously been successful in a Grade 1 to 3 race so experience of scoring at a high level appears key.


LAST TIME OUT

The last 10 winners previously ran within the last 35 days, while eight of those went into the race off the back of a victory.

You want to look for a horse that won on their last outing – eight of the last 10 winners achieved this – and ran within the previous 35 days – which was achieved by all.

ODDS

It is worth checking out Paddy Power’s odds for the Lawlor’s of Naas Novice Hurdle before picking your horse as nine winners since 2014 could be found in the top two in the betting. McKinley (2015) was the exception to the rule.

SEASON FORM

A horse that has had at least two runs this season is worth keeping onside as that was achieved by the last 10 winners. Interestingly, nine of those were on the scoresheet on two occasions that term.

Lawlor’s of Naas Novice Hurdle 2024 trends verdict

A race that throws up consistent trends, it is curious that not a single runner ticks all the boxes. Firefox, Chapeau De Soleil and CROKE PARK most fit the mould of recent winners so it is perhaps worth chancing the latter at an each-way price on account of his victory in the Grade 3 Monksfield Novice Hurdle last time out.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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