This has always been a favourite race of mine and at first glance it was interesting to see that Venetia Williams has decided to run Cloudy Glen off top weight rather than Royal Pagaille. If the latter had run there would have been a lop-sided look to the race.
Some old friends, or foes, depending on how they have run for you in the past few years, are set to line up. Old Truckers Lodge should be suited by this set up and a mark of 132 is very fair if the 11-year-old retains the majority of his old ability, a remark that also applies to Captain Cottisrock.
Joe Tizzard’s Rose of Arcadia will run well off her new mark but Ben Pauling’s Slipaway could be well over priced. A winner of three of his eight starts over fences, including on his seasonal debut last year when winning off 133 over this trip at Fontwell. He was subsequently found to have a wind issue and operated on.
Although the argument is that a horse that experiences that procedure only puts it in his second start back, I am going to take a chance that off a 5lbs higher mark than for his last win, he can make his presence felt here in a wide-open contest on only his ninth chase start.
I couldn’t really find a value play in the Grade Three Novice Hurdle earlier on the card so the Troytown Chase was the natural betting medium for me on the card with a very healthy field of 22 set to go to post for this valuable staying event. Gordon Elliott has dominated this race in the past 10 years, but that is no surprise when you consider the number of runners he has sent to the start and he has an unbelievable 14 entries set to represent him this time around, which just seems madness.
I mean it’s not illegal, after all he is free to pay the entry money and race as many as he likes, but does it suggest to you that he doesn’t have a stand-out performer OR that he has one lurking amongst the crew that is ripe for a right-old gamble? I don’t know, and if you do you are a better punter than me!
For the record, last year’s fourth Coko Beach looks sure to be involved if putting in a clear round, while I also fancy a big run from his well handicapped outsider Epson Du Houx who looked badly in need of his first run of the season at Cork and, off 141, is dangerous.
But the nod goes to Henry De Bromhead’s runner Largy Debut who remains unexposed over 3ms. Placed on seven of his eight chasing starts, I was really taken by the way he stayed on in the Munster National to run Gevrey to just over two lengths and now gets a 6lbs turnaround in the weights and that will do for me.
A class six 6f handicap where the majority of the 12 horses are lucky to land a gold medal just once a season! But I find these races fascinating puzzles and, after an initial scan, got this down to four runners. I have a healthy regard for the top weight Phoenix Beach, a beaten favourite last time out and his mark is a sore thumb here.
Against the Richard Fahey charge Glistening Nights, that I suspect is better over a stiff 5f and despite a good draw in box number eight, who is passed over in favour of Alison Hamilton’s Turbo Command.
The six-year-old ran two solid races over a mile at Ayr at the back end of the turf season, but after his 12th start was given a month and a half on the sidelines to freshen up and that rest seem to work when he ran a cracker on his comeback over seven furlongs here.
But with a bundle of pace on Sunday, and the drop to this trip, his first run over this distance since a fair run at Hamilton in June may well suit. He is the each-way play to arrive on the scene late and hopefully hit the frame at the very least.
A fair renewal of the Greatwood Hurdle and with 11 horses rated to within 10lbs of each other at the top of the handicap and it looks ultra competitive as well, as it should do for the prize money on offer. Off 136, Luccia could possibly be thrown in here and I may well have a saver on her after she did enough through the race on her return at Wetherby in a Listed contest.
Several others caught my eye, and the Dan Skelton trained L’Eau Du Sud could be the typical long-range entry from the yard being geared up for the County Hurdle in March, but in the long term could be a graded horse in the making. The 2022 runner-up Gin Coco probably wants better ground than he will encounter here so the vote goes to the totally unexposed Nicky Henderson charge Iberico Lord who just about creeps into the category of value bet.
He has a fair record fresh, loves to be towed along by a fast pace and soft ground seems to be essential to bring the best out in him. I know he is quite highly regarded by his astute trainer and a mark of 126 looks very fair on what he has achieved so far and what is still to come.
Horse Racing Tips: Paul Jacobs’ value plays across the tracks on Sunday
PJ bagged a 20/1 winner last Sunday and he's back in the ring for another swing.
By Paul Jacobs / Horse Racing Tips / 2 weeks ago
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Paul Jacobs’ Horse Racing Tips
Cheltenham 14.20 – Slipaway
Navan 14:30 – Largy Debut
Newcastle 14:38 – Turbo Command (each way)
Cheltenham 15:30 – Iberico Lord
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
Cheltenham 14.20 – Slipaway
This has always been a favourite race of mine and at first glance it was interesting to see that Venetia Williams has decided to run Cloudy Glen off top weight rather than Royal Pagaille. If the latter had run there would have been a lop-sided look to the race.
Some old friends, or foes, depending on how they have run for you in the past few years, are set to line up. Old Truckers Lodge should be suited by this set up and a mark of 132 is very fair if the 11-year-old retains the majority of his old ability, a remark that also applies to Captain Cottisrock.
Joe Tizzard’s Rose of Arcadia will run well off her new mark but Ben Pauling’s Slipaway could be well over priced. A winner of three of his eight starts over fences, including on his seasonal debut last year when winning off 133 over this trip at Fontwell. He was subsequently found to have a wind issue and operated on.
Although the argument is that a horse that experiences that procedure only puts it in his second start back, I am going to take a chance that off a 5lbs higher mark than for his last win, he can make his presence felt here in a wide-open contest on only his ninth chase start.
Navan 14:30 – Largy Debut
I couldn’t really find a value play in the Grade Three Novice Hurdle earlier on the card so the Troytown Chase was the natural betting medium for me on the card with a very healthy field of 22 set to go to post for this valuable staying event. Gordon Elliott has dominated this race in the past 10 years, but that is no surprise when you consider the number of runners he has sent to the start and he has an unbelievable 14 entries set to represent him this time around, which just seems madness.
I mean it’s not illegal, after all he is free to pay the entry money and race as many as he likes, but does it suggest to you that he doesn’t have a stand-out performer OR that he has one lurking amongst the crew that is ripe for a right-old gamble? I don’t know, and if you do you are a better punter than me!
For the record, last year’s fourth Coko Beach looks sure to be involved if putting in a clear round, while I also fancy a big run from his well handicapped outsider Epson Du Houx who looked badly in need of his first run of the season at Cork and, off 141, is dangerous.
But the nod goes to Henry De Bromhead’s runner Largy Debut who remains unexposed over 3ms. Placed on seven of his eight chasing starts, I was really taken by the way he stayed on in the Munster National to run Gevrey to just over two lengths and now gets a 6lbs turnaround in the weights and that will do for me.
Newcastle 14:38 – Turbo Command (each way)
A class six 6f handicap where the majority of the 12 horses are lucky to land a gold medal just once a season! But I find these races fascinating puzzles and, after an initial scan, got this down to four runners. I have a healthy regard for the top weight Phoenix Beach, a beaten favourite last time out and his mark is a sore thumb here.
Against the Richard Fahey charge Glistening Nights, that I suspect is better over a stiff 5f and despite a good draw in box number eight, who is passed over in favour of Alison Hamilton’s Turbo Command.
The six-year-old ran two solid races over a mile at Ayr at the back end of the turf season, but after his 12th start was given a month and a half on the sidelines to freshen up and that rest seem to work when he ran a cracker on his comeback over seven furlongs here.
But with a bundle of pace on Sunday, and the drop to this trip, his first run over this distance since a fair run at Hamilton in June may well suit. He is the each-way play to arrive on the scene late and hopefully hit the frame at the very least.
Cheltenham 15:30 – Iberico Lord
A fair renewal of the Greatwood Hurdle and with 11 horses rated to within 10lbs of each other at the top of the handicap and it looks ultra competitive as well, as it should do for the prize money on offer. Off 136, Luccia could possibly be thrown in here and I may well have a saver on her after she did enough through the race on her return at Wetherby in a Listed contest.
Several others caught my eye, and the Dan Skelton trained L’Eau Du Sud could be the typical long-range entry from the yard being geared up for the County Hurdle in March, but in the long term could be a graded horse in the making. The 2022 runner-up Gin Coco probably wants better ground than he will encounter here so the vote goes to the totally unexposed Nicky Henderson charge Iberico Lord who just about creeps into the category of value bet.
He has a fair record fresh, loves to be towed along by a fast pace and soft ground seems to be essential to bring the best out in him. I know he is quite highly regarded by his astute trainer and a mark of 126 looks very fair on what he has achieved so far and what is still to come.
Paul Jacobs’ Horse Racing Tips
Cheltenham 14.20 – Slipaway
Navan 14:30 – Largy Debut
Newcastle 14:38 – Turbo Command (each way)
Cheltenham 15:30 – Iberico Lord
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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