A cracking cast has been assembled for the Paddy Power Gold Cup and the Premier Handicap bearing our fearless leader’s name looks wide open due to the sheer quality on show.
Stage Star and Notlongtillmay were the first two home in last season’s Turners Novices’ Chase, The Real Whacker won the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase, Authorized Art finished second in this summer’s Galway Plate, while the likes of Fugitif and Il Ridoto have fine form in the book over this track and trip.
It is a field that whets the appetite and a look back through the history books could help point us in the right direction of the winner – so we’ve done just that to save you the bother.
Paddy Power Gold Cup odds can be found on the Paddy Power website and Paddy Power app, otherwise key trends from the last 10 years and a tip based off the big-race stats are below.
READ MORE: PADDY POWER GOLD CUP RUNNERS GUIDE
Paddy Power Gold Cup trends
AGE
Seven of the last 10 winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup were aged between seven and nine.
CHASE FORM
Nine winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup since 2013 had at least five previous chase runs, while seven of those had been successful over fences on at least two occasions.
COURSE FORM
Nine of the last 10 winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup had two previous runs at Cheltenham.
DISTANCE FORM
At least five previous runs over distances between 2m3f and 2m5f is a statistic shared by nine of the last 10 winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup.
LAST TIME OUT
Eight of the last 10 winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup had previously run within the last 35 days, although you want to avoid a horse that won last time out as just one of those horses (Johns Spirit) followed up.
ODDS
No favourite has won the Paddy Power Gold Cup since 2013 and just two winners were in the top three in the betting in that time period. However, Splash Of Ginge (25/1) is the only recent winner with a starting price greater than 14/1.
RATING
It pays to have race fitness on your side as eight of the last 10 winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup were rated 139 or higher.
WEIGHT
A light weight appears to be important as eight of the last 10 winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup carried 11st or less. The Real Whacker’s presence in the line up means more than half the runners meet this trend.
Paddy Power Gold Cup trends verdict
ANGELS BREATH emerges as the horse to meet the most key trends. The Sam Thomas-trained gelding shaped encouragingly on seasonal reappearance over sticks at last month’s Showcase Meeting over track and trip. The selection also appears to be nicely weighted, carrying 10st 10lbs, for this Premier Handicap as he reverts to fences.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
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