Horse Racing Tips: Paul Jacobs’ 4 value plays across the tracks on Sunday

Paul Jacobs’ Horse Racing Tips

2.35 Plumpton – Honneur De Sivola
3.35 Curragh – Promo Queen
4.10 Curragh – Falcon Eight (each way) & Joupe (each way)
4.35 Hamilton – Ramon Di Loria

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

2.35 Plumpton – Honneur De Sivola

We have a low key race to start our value four for Sunday, but one which may just contain a vulnerable favourite in Gambie Tiep. The top weight has gone up from 75 to 89 in the ratings this year and won a very soft race at Fontwell Park last time out as a 5/4 market leader. It is true that this race doesn’t have any strength in depth to it as well, but Honneur De Sivola could be outstandingly well weighted if he both manages to put his best foot forward and leaves his return run behind last time out at Worcester, when going to post quite well fancied.

He made two really bad mistakes early on at the first and sixth obstacle and that seemed to knock his confidence for six and Harry Cobden was very quick to look after him thereafter. He’s a full 7lbs lower with conditional Bradley Roberts taking over, he has solid claims if he can show the fair form in his CV from Huntingdon in May when the gelding was runner-up to Chess Player.

3.35 Curragh – Promo Queen

Nursery handicaps are not normally my port of call as these young and unexposed horses can make dramatic strides in a very small stretch of time, but this looked too good an opening to refuse. Co Meath trainer Christopher David Timmons is a new name on the training block, but in Promo Queen he has an enigmatic, but well treated juvenile in his ranks.

Zero for four in her career to date and unplaced to boot on all those outings, the daughter of Advertise caught my eye big time when contesting a five and a half furlong nursery off 67 last time out at Navan when still running green and not really knowing what was required of her when asked for her effort two furlongs out.

She threw her head up in the air at that point, but when her young rider got her organised, she managed to finally put her best foot forward and finish off her race nicely. Her breeding strongly suggests that this extra yardage will be right up her street and it wouldn’t surprise me if she became a real springer in the market.

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4.10 Curragh – Falcon Eight (each way) & Joupe (each way)

This was a race in which we were desperately unlucky last year with Falcon Eight. Had we been onside with a senior jockey instead of an inexperienced claimer things would have been very different. It is possible for the same horse to run in the Newmarket Cesarewitch as well as this Irish version, but it would take some stayer with an admirable constitution to do so successfully. That may deplete the Irish challenge at HQ later especially with this race being so much more valuable.

A good place to start has to be Teed Up following his recent runs both over hurdles and on the Flat. I am by no means suggesting that he has reached his ceiling on the level, but a mark of 100 will need him to reproduce a career best and there are several of the leading protagonists that are possibly better treated than this progressive six-year-old who, it is worth remembering, is only having his 14th start on the level. But I would rather look for some each-way value against him, which after all is the aim of this column week in, week out.

I am going to be two-pronged in this with the veteran and last year’s unlucky selection Falcon Eight worth another go. He has only raced seven times in 12 months, winning over 1m 4f and was last seen over 2m 6f in the Queen Alexandra Stakes. You feel this race is a much better fit for the old boy and off a 2lbs lower mark he has solid each-way claims. But because of his big price we can go in again on another tip and the complete outsider could fit the bill.

Peter Lawlor’s charge Joupe has suggested several times during her career that a stiffer test of stamina would suit her none more so than when running Final Gesture to just over two lengths in a Listed race at Gowran Park in May. Still relatively lightly raced on turf, with an admittedly poor strike rate, this test of stamina could bring out the very best in her and she is worth a pop at an almighty price.

4.35 Hamilton – Ramon Di Loria

Aconcagua Mountain (2.35) and Bringitonboris (3.25) should both oblige at the Glasgow track as short-priced market leaders in their relative prices, but my column is all about ‘value’ and I have found a nice play in the big field, 6f handicap in which there is sure to be a bundle of pace on from the get go. That scenario should suit Ewan Whillans’ charge Ramon Di Loria, who simply hasn’t had the pace in the race to put his best foot forward including a few times here.

Best when hidden away off a scorching gallop, Ramon Di Loria has run his best races when held onto for as long as possible as when winning at Carlisle last May and then on his best start this season when second over the course and distance in May. A full 4lbs lower than for that run behind Slainte Mhath, and with Ryan Sexton on board again who knows how to handle him, he gets the nod over top weight Mighty Gurkha and course and distance winner Elladora.

Paul Jacobs’ Horse Racing Tips

2.35 Plumpton – Honneur De Sivola
3.35 Curragh – Promo Queen
4.10 Curragh – Falcon Eight (each way) & Joupe (each way)
4.35 Hamilton – Ramon Di Loria

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

READ MORE

• Gallop over to Paddy Power News for all the latest horse racing tips
• When is the Irish Cesarewitch? Curragh date, start time, runners and betting
• When is the Melbourne Cup? Flemington date, start time, runners and betting

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