Horse Racing Tips: Paul Jacobs’ 4 fab value plays for Saturday’s racing

PJ's back on his relentless quest for winning value.

Paul Jacobs Generic

By / Horse Racing Tips / 2 years ago

Saturday’s Racing Tips

13:45 Ascot – Call Me Ginger
15:10 York – White Wolf
16:27 Chester – Holguin
16:55 York – Sharp Distinction

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

13:45 Ascot – Call Me Ginger

The first and second in this top class handicap 12 months ago, Mountain Peak and Bond Chairman, renew rivalry. The winner is down in the weights this season after some moderate efforts while the runner-up comes here on the back of a winning seasonal debut at Doncaster. However, both will need career best efforts to land this Heritage Handicap in what looks a much deeper race than in 2022.

For example dual Wokingham winner, Rohaan, carries top weight off a mark of 110 and despite two poor efforts, albeit in better grades this season, he must be respected back on his favourite track, a remark that also applies to King’s Lynn. Old Arecibo is worth a special mention as he too has a good record here and the handicapper has at last given him a big chance off a mark of 97 and if the eight-year-old retains the majority of his ability and I think that he could well be worth a saver.

Equilateral (5th), Existent (9th) and Raasel (10th) all take a drop in grade after running well in the King’s Stand, but Call Me Ginger makes more appeal. Last seen here over 7f in the Victoria Cup (too far) Jim Goldie’s charge is already a C&D winner off 81 and has since run below par resulting in him being able to run off a 2lbs lower mark. Fast ground and a rapid pace seem to be the key to him and if he can stay in touch early on then his blitz finish should see him in the mix at a price.

15:10 York – White Wolf

This extended 10-and-a-half-furlong trip is always underestimated as a specialist distance. Sea of Casper had the run of the race when landing a class three at Lingfield Park last time out. However, this is only his ninth career start and there should be more to come from him, but in time I suspect an extra furlong and a half would suit. Veteran Certain Lad has run really well in the last two renewals of this race, too free last year when 11th, but previously a cracking second to Sinjaari, but may be the assessor still has hold of him.

I prefer the Godolphin charge White Wolf who, to my eyes, hasn’t got home over 12 furlongs in the Duke of Edinburgh last time out (travelled powerfully through the race) and here in the Jorvik Handicap first time out this season. What this son of Invincible Spirit needs is a fast run 10 furlongs with no jar in the ground. A mark of 101 looks very fair on what he has achieved and he is preferred at the relative prices to the Crisford rep and the unexposed Nobel trained by Andrew Balding.

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16:27 Chester – Holguin

Fast Response is interesting on only his second start over seven furlongs, fast ground wouldn’t have been his thing last time out, but with rain in the air he could play a major role if Billy Garritty can get him covered up in midfield. Witch Hunter won a nice handicap at Royal Ascot under an inspired ride from Spencer, but soft ground is a question mark as well as this uplift in grade so I am going to take a chance with the Balding raider, Holguin.

He has been given some stiff tasks in his career including when a close-up sixth in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot last time out and previously when twice placed behind the classy Cold Case, the second of which was in the Two-Year-Old Trophy at Redcar last back end. Seven furlongs around here could prove spot on if he can get a good sit from his inside draw in box number two.

16:55 York – Sharp Distinction

A medium Class 4 handicap with several well handicapped entries that are open to consideration. Single hasn’t won since this time last year at Newmarket off a mark of 78 over 1m 6f. The mare has dropped down to the same mark and if she settles, could play a part. Top weight, Land of Winter, didn’t get home over 2m 2f at Pontefract last time out after travelling well for most of the journey.

Down to a mark of 81, the Newmarket raider could well be the biggest danger to the selection, Sharp Distinction. A maiden after 11 starts, that would be a good enough reason for many of you to ignore the claims of the selection. However, three runs over this trip have resulted in form figures of 223 and his comeback run at Kempton Park can be significantly upgraded as he was very free through the first half mile and then had to come off a moderate pace. There is almost certainly more to come from this four-year-old.

Saturday’s Racing Tips

13:45 Ascot – Call Me Ginger
15:10 York – White Wolf
16:27 Chester – Holguin
16:55 York – Sharp Distinction

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

Saturday’s Racing Tips

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