Horse Racing tips: Timeform’s best bets at Carlisle on Monday

The racing boffins at Timeform have a pick for every race on the Flat card at Carlisle.

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Carlisle betting tips:

14:20 – Project Geofin
14:50 – Bugle Beads
15:20 – Tammamy Hall
15:50 – Alpina Express
16:20 – We Still Believe
16:53 – Purple Martini
17:27 – Royal Prospect

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

14:20 – Project Geofin

PROJECT GEOFIN shaped with plenty of promise when filling the runner-up spot on his debut at Beverley last month, especially as he was on the back foot from the start having missed the break in a strongly-run race. Beaten four and a quarter lengths at the line, he finished with running left and that is proving a strong piece of form (winner and third both won next time). Sure to improve now up in trip and with a run under his belt, Project Geofin should mount a bold bid to get off the mark at the second attempt.

14:50 – Bugle Beads

BUGLE BEADS wasn’t seen to best effect when finishing fifth on her debut at Windsor a couple of weeks ago, doing well under the circumstances to pass the post only five and a half lengths behind the winner having met trouble on more than one occasion. Trained by William Haggas, she couldn’t be in better hands and that debut experience at Windsor promises to bring her on significantly. This looks just an ordinary novice event on paper and Bugle Beads is fancied to improve past the standard-setting Lady Dreamer to open her account.

15:20 – Tammany Hall

TAMMANY HALL posted his best effort of this season when finishing fifth in a big-field handicap at the Curragh last time, sticking to his task well to be beaten only two lengths. That was a big step back in the right direction and a repeat of that form will put him right in the mix here as he makes the journey over from Ireland. For context, he tops the field on Timeform’s weight-adjusted ratings as he tries to finally end a losing run stretching back to September 2020.

15:50 – Alpina Express

ALPINA EXPRESS showed much-improved form when making a successful handicap debut at Ayr last week, drawing right away in the closing stages to win by two and three-quarter lengths. This will be a quicker-than-ideal turnaround, but she still looks one step ahead of the handicapper under a 6lb penalty, especially when you factor in her scope for more improvement after just four starts. The rude health of the Charlie Johnston yard (83% of horses running to form) also gives cause for optimism in her follow-up bid.

 

16:20 – We Still Believe

WE STILL BELIEVE was well beaten in a handicap hurdle at Hexham earlier this month, but he’d been in really good nick on the Flat prior to that, notably losing out by just a head over this course and distance the time before. He is only 1lb higher in the weights today and should be capable of defying this sort of mark for the Daragh Bourke stable. He’s certainly done well since joining the yard earlier this year with one win and three seconds from five starts on the Flat.

16:53 – Purple Martini

PURPLE MARTINI resumed her progress with a determined victory at Musselburgh last month, only winning by three quarters of a length but looking value for extra having idled late on. She is 4lb higher in the weights today, but the form has worked out so well in her subsequent absence that she still looks a long way ahead of the handicapper. For context, the pair who chased Purple Martini home have won three times each in recent weeks, so she is very hard to oppose as she tries to make it three wins from her last four starts.

17:27 – Royal Prospect

ROYAL PROSPECT looked rusty when finishing sixth on his return to action at Redcar a few weeks ago, never really threatening to land a blow from rear, albeit he was only three lengths behind the winner at the line. He is likely to be closer to form with that outing under his belt and it’s easy to make the case for him from a handicapping viewpoint. After all, he lines up today from a 1lb lower mark than when winning over this course and distance in August last year, his third success from seven starts at Carlisle.

 

Carlisle betting tips:

14:20 – Project Geofin
14:50 – Bugle Beads
15:20 – Tammamy Hall
15:50 – Alpina Express
16:20 – We Still Believe
16:53 – Purple Martini
17:27 – Royal Prospect

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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