Timeform’s Newbury Betting Tips
MABRE has been in great form since the turn of the year, bagging his third win over a mile at this course last month, and running respectably without a penalty when runner-up at Bath seven days later. He raced off the pace and stayed on in the closing stages, suggesting he may be ready for another try at this trip nowadays, and he should remain competitive from 3 lb higher. Mrs Meader, who won this race 12 months ago, is another to consider.
This is usually a very informative maiden and, given those with experience don’t set an exacting standard, it looks likely to go to one of the many well-bred newcomers. Preference is for the Richard Hannon-trained MAFNOOD, who is a half-brother to several winners, and represents a yard that do well at this course with their juveniles. Enpassant, whose sales price rose to 140,000 guineas at the Breeze-Ups earlier this year, is another interesting type on paper, as is Iberian.
LOSE YOURSELF looked a good prospect when making a winning debut at Newmarket last summer, scoring with a bit in hand from another useful filly. She confirmed that impression when beaten only a head in the Oh So Sharp Stakes on her final start, building on her debut effort but just ran out of it late in the day. Lose Yourself was rather unfurnished last season, so there is reason to think she’ll do even better as a three-year-old, and she sets a high standard for her rivals to aim at in a race of this nature. Satirical drew a blank in 2 outings last year but the fact she went off at short odds on her debut suggests she’s well regarded and it’s potentially significant that Frankie Dettori comes across for the ride.
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This looks a very competitive three-year-old handicap and slight preference is for MONOPOLISE, who won back-to-back handicaps towards the end of last year, and he has shaped well in defeat so far this season. He arguably proved better than ever when finishing runner-up at York last time, doing best of those who were held up, while also leaving the impression he is ready for a return to a mile. That form has been boosted since, and a mark of 75 shouldn’t prove beyond him, so he remains a horse to be positive about at this sort of level. Achillea shouldn’t be underestimated and is next on the list ahead of Chealamy.
HICKORY is a lightly-raced five-year-old who won his first three starts spaced out over three years and he wasn’t seen to best effect in a messy race on his return from a short break at Southwell in February. He was strong in the betting on his latest start at Kempton last month, but he failed to meet expectations, made to look one paced in the closing stages. That can’t have been his running given his previous promise and he is well worth another chance on his return to turf, especially given how promising he looked prior to Kempton. Mister Bluebird is an obvious danger following his win at Goodwood and Persuasion could make his presence felt if the race is run to suit.
SHOBIZ took a step forward from his reappearance when recording a third career success over this course and distance last month, showing a brilliant attitude and more encouragingly putting two solid runs together. That effort can be marked up further, too, given he raced from effectively the worst of the draw and the race unfolded on the other flank. William Buick retains the ride and Shobiz is in the right hands for a sprinter, so he remains one to keep on the right side from 4 lb higher. Magnificence returned to form last time and is feared most, ahead of Treacherous.
BLINDEDBYTHELIGHTS suffered a shock defeat at Lingfield earlier in the week, but he found nothing going his way that day, and should take plenty of beating turned out again quickly under the same penalty. Great Bedwyn ran well in a strong event at York last time and is respected dropping in grade, whilst Scintillante and Hedonista rate as potential improvers on their handicap bows.
Timeform’s Newbury Betting Tips
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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