Trader Tips for Churchill Downs Tonight
* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
Paddy Power is delighted to be offering betting from one of the worlds biggest races, and to celebrate the return of the Kentucky Derby we are going 4 places on the race. But it’s a bumper card and I have a few fancies for the build up to the run for the roses.
19:46 Churchill Downs – Tall Boy
The Pat Day Mile is typically a card that contains horses that were at one stage hopefuls for the Derby and today is no different. This is a wide open race and the horse I really like at a price is Tall Boy for Doug O’Neill. His run style just doesn’t suit racing at Meydan but he will get the race to suit today with plenty of hot pace here he will be able to pick off runners one by one from the top of the bend. At double-digit prices this is one of my stronger each way bets tonight and is helped by Paddy Power offering an extra place.
LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY – MAY 05: A horse walks on the track during morning workouts ahead of the 149th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 05, 2023 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
21:31 Churchill Downs – Endorsed
While the favourite, Codys Wish, is the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile Winner and going for his 5th win in a row, I can’t help but want to take him on while he is odds-on for season debut. Logic and his morning works suggest that connections have been slowly bringing him forward for the year with another tilt at the Breeders Cup in November his main aim. Endorsed looks primed to cause the upset here. He was very good at Gulfstream over a mile in a grade 2 race and running a triple-figure speed again will be enough to win this contest.
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23:57 Churchill Downs – Mage
The main event – ‘box office’ is the only term for the biggest race on dirt. Forte is our favourite and he is worthy of that position given the way he won the Florida Derby but at 3/1 he is just a little on the short side – though I’m not sure I’d be too brave to lay it for lot either.
Given the 4 places on offer I was rather taken with the Florida Derby second Mage. A very inexperienced horse who clearly has so much raw potential, he just looked rushed into the Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream before running to his true ability in the Florida Derby. He has the closing speed that always comes to hand in a Kentucky Derby and at a double figure price represents value to me.
Trader Tips for Churchill Downs Tonight
* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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