Paul Jacobs’ Saturday ITV picks:
Kempton Park – 13:30 – Any News
Uttoxeter – 13:50 – Stag Horn
Kempton Park – 14:05 – The Bomber Liston
Uttoxeter – 14:25 – Lynwood Gold
Kempton Park 14:40 – One True King
Uttoxeter – 15:00 – Secret Reprieve
Uttoxeter – 15:35 – Mackelduff
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
Kempton – 13:30 – Any News
I just get the feeling that the handicapper is getting on top of Cap Du Mathan, but he is probably the yardstick for the others to reach in this very open novices handicap chase. Quid Pro Quo is surely better than his run last time out and any support would be interesting, but for me ANY NEWS only needs to improve a wee bit on his run over the course and distance last time out to be involved. Anything near to his third to Threeunderthrufive last year would see him in the mix at the sharp end.
Uttoxeter – 13:50 – Stag Horn
Up from 117 to 128, with Harry Skelton taking over in the saddle, the hat-trick seeking Hitching Jacking needs another sizable step forward here, but still shouldn’t be discounted. Outsider Del La Mar Rocket ran flat last time out and may surprise a few of these, but the vote goes to STAG HORN who went off at 22/1 in last year’s Albert Bartlett, but after running free was always going to empty out late on that day. He has so much natural speed that this drop in trip should serve him well and a drop in the ratings from 137 to 128 gives him outstanding claims here if back to his best.
Kempton Park – 14:05 – The Bomber Liston
Harbour Lake has been given a nice break by Alan King since blowing out in the Lanzarote Hurdle and I could easily see him bouncing back here, but the weather forecast could again scupper his chance again with plenty of rain on the horizon. A Different Kind has finally been given a chance by the handicapper, but after jumping like a donkey at Huntingdon last time out Nicky Henderson’s charge looks like the call if he can return to the form of his previous fourth at the track. THE BOMBER LISTON remains feasibly handicapped off a mark of 123 and gets bundles of weight from the likes of Press Your Luck, Pull Again Green and the consistent Outlaw Pete.
Uttoxeter – 14:25 – Lynwood Gold
The ground could be really testing by the time they run this staying handicap hurdle and that should suit Party Business who has simply not jumped well in two better races than this. He is what I call a lurker in the weights, but if this becomes the slog I think it will then Brian Barr’s charge, LYNWOOD GOLD who could well defy his hike in the weights after flying home to win at Lingfield Park two outings back. He subsequently found the good ground way too fast when falling at Exeter last time out and the return to this surface bodes well for this former Henry De Bromhead runner.
Kempton Park 14:40 – One True King
This is the easiest task that Grade 2/3 performer Mister Fisher has taken in for some time, but he wouldn’t want the ground to get too testing and there are plenty of each-way players further down the weights. Fidelio Vallis arrives here a fresh horse and is a logical each-way play and he was on my shortlist in an ultra-competitive event alongside my bottom weighted selection. Three miles almost seems to stretch him out too far and he is back down to a mark on a pound above his last winning rating and at a double figure price, ONE TRUE KING could stay on strongly down the line of three fences coming for home to at least hit the frame.
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Uttoxeter – 15:00 – Secret Reprieve
Iwilldoit will have to carry the welter burden of 12 stone here to add to his Warwick Classic Chase win, but is in the form of his life and it is worth remembering this will be only the fifth run over fences. His seemingly bottomless stamina will obviously stand him in good stead but it will be one hell of an achievement.
But giving up 23lbs to the Welsh raider may well prove beyond him. Evan Williams’ SECRET REPRIEVE side stepped a run in the Welsh National and has been campaigned sparingly this term. However, I was hugely impressed by his staying on effort behind Rapper at Cheltenham over a trip very much on the sharp side and this test under his light weight means he gets the nod over former winner Time To Get Up and Welsh National winner The Two Amigos.
Uttoxeter – 15:35 – Mackelduff
I am sure the bookies and punters alike will find it hard to find a clear priced favourite unless there is a big gamble on one of the market leaders which makes this a desperately hard race to dissect and come up with confident selection.
There is little doubt that Iron Bridge is at the top of his form, but a mark of 137 probably requires a career best which he may well be capable of. In receipt of 6lbs Our Jet could leave his Wetherby run behind him, but my each-way wager will come on the Olly Murphy runner who needed every yard of the three miles last time out at Wetherby. A 5lbs rise in the weights here looks very fair with plenty of pace on this race and I fancy MACKELDUFF to pick his rivals off one by one down the long home stretch.
Paul Jacobs’ Saturday ITV picks:
Kempton Park – 13:30 – Any News
Uttoxeter – 13:50 – Stag Horn
Kempton Park – 14:05 – The Bomber Liston
Uttoxeter – 14:25 – Lynwood Gold
Kempton Park 14:40 – One True King
Uttoxeter – 15:00 – Secret Reprieve
Uttoxeter – 15:35 – Mackelduff
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
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