Dundalk Betting Tips:
Collective Power has a visor back on for the first time and he’s got a good draw in stall five. The headgear could be the key for him in this one and he should win. He’s better over 5f than 6f too so it all seems to be in favour of Collective Power.
Almendares has been gelded since last time out and he is worth a mention. Vanguard Star has also been gelded but is drawn in stall 14 which is far from ideal. I’m happy enough to watch him, so I’m with Lily Maguire, who has the best form. She travelled really well at Dundalk in January when finishing second. That form is decent and a little improvement should make her hard to beat.
I was underwhelmed by Excesso Velocidad’s last start at Dundalk in December but she won well on her debut. She could be open to more improvement but I’m going to take her on. Given the swing of the weights, I like Havana Notion with Billy Lee on board. He shaped well at Dundalk last time out in December and he can show improvement.
Linus Larrabee will likely go well and Miss Abby Jools will be respected in the market. I’d like to see the money come for Above It All for John McConnell and he’s caught my eye on his last two runs. Above It All is a dual winner in the UK and he’s off a good mark. He could outrun his odds and he might be a bit of value.
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There’s a couple of debutants in this and there could be an element of a lot of horses debuting now, with a view to the Turf season starting next month. Keep an eye on Dermot Weld’s Real History and Take Heart, trained by Johnny Murtagh.
The ones with form and experience in this are Miami Thunder, who had a very good debut run, finished second to Stormy Entry, who went on to win again last week.
He ran probably a little below that level when he was third over a mile, I thought he’d improve with a step-up to a mile, but he was a little bit lacklustre. Jack Carney rode him that day off 7lbs. He’s off this week, Seamie Heffernan’s on.
Overall, if you look at the form of Cash Out in comparison, he might have the edge. Not having a claimer, having a senior rider on Miami Thunder, probably leaves Cash out slightly better off at the weights. He could be hard to beat.
Banned ran very well at the start of the month when second but couldn’t back it up two days later and performed pretty poorly.
She’s a very small filly and even though she’s had a two-week break, this is still her third run in just a little over two weeks. I’d be against Banned.
Wrecking Ball Paul has been a bit of a revelation since switching from the Flat to running in bumpers and maiden hurdles. Stepping up to a mile and a half should suit him very well.
Khadash is really interesting and could be the value. I think he’s open to a bit more improvement than his rivals. Was fourth on his debut in September 2021, in a bumper in Clonmel where he traveled really, really well.
In his polytrack Flat debut, he shaped very well. He was a bit keen, a bit fresh, but he finished off the race nicely. With the promise that he’s showed at Dundalk in early January, he’s a value bet here.
All things being equal, you can narrow this race down to two. Dubawi Spectre and Lake Illawarra.
Lake Illawarra had a very, very game winner last time over what looked to be an inadequate trip of 7f. She rallied really well to beat her stable companion Malacanne, who has gone on to win twice, since, in good style.
Lake Illawarra, judging by her pedigree, should be suited by the step-up in trip.
But, I’m going to take a chance on Dubawi Spectre. Now, I’m not sure he’s the most reliable, but his most recent run over a mile had merit.
He was a little bit sluggish to begin with, but I loved how he finished off inside the final furlong. He went through the line really strongly.
Stepping up in trip, is going to suit him. If you match that with his recent form, he’s the value bet against Lake Illawarra.
Wild Shot is very interesting back on the surface after two only ok performances over hurdles. But he’s got a very good course record.
Maralinga had a very good run last time. If she stepped forward she would be a player. Evening Verse has really found her form over shorter trips and was a winner over this trip in the past.
We put Gracesolution up a couple of times and I thought we were unfortunate. She’s gone up in the weights despite being beaten and hopefully another 2lbs hike doesn’t stop her.
Jake Coen rides again and he’s ridden this filly to win before. He’s big value for his 5lbs claim.
I’m going to take one more chance on Gracesolution and hope that she get a well-deserved win.
Dundalk Betting Tips:
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