Horse Racing tips: Paul Jacobs’ super Sunday value plays across the tracks

PJ is here to give you a steer on where Sunday's smart money is going.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

14:15 Ffos Las – Dentley De Mee

This is far from being the most glamorous race of the day but, for betting purposes, when you look through the field it really looks a contest that will take very little winning. Poldark Cross could be fairly handicapped as he is a relatively unexposed seven-year-old, but he is not tried and tested over this extended three miles and has to be a major non staying player. Joey Steel looks held by the handicapper, Son Of Oz is very ordinary even in this class, while Alminar may need some help from the assessor.

That leaves the 12-year-old, Looks Like Power, who is well weighted on his best form and a repeat of his third behind Fairlawn Flyer off a 5lbs lower mark puts him right in the mix here. The veteran looks the main danger to the selection, Dentley De Mee.

Coming off a mammoth 593 day break would be a concern if attached to the majority of trainers, but when you see the name Venetia Williams next to his listing that is a huge negative. Also he wouldn’t have been kept in training unless his shrewd handler thought he retains the majority of his ability, rated as high as 130 in his pomp and now set to run off 104! Before he moved from Nick Williams the nine-year-old had a good record fresh and if strong in the market he is a must back to make a winning return.

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15:13 Cork – Defi Bleu (each way)

Braeside will be the choice of many to follow up last year’s impressive victory and there is every chance he will go close even though he is set to race off a 12lbs higher mark. It is worth mentioning that he ran in two graded races at the back end of last year and this will be only his 12th start over fences. Still, he will need to be at the top of his game to confirm his 2021 victory here with Mister Fogpatches who is fully 9lbs better off and is capable of putting in a much better round of jumping.

But I really like the chance of one of the Gordon Elliott brigade who looks as though he has been laid out for this having had a lovely pipe-opener in the Munster National where he showed up nicely until the third last before lack of a run took its toll. The handicapper has dropped Defi Bleu a pound to 136 and I think he looks a solid each-way call in what looks a trappy renewal if he can get into a good jumping rhythm early on under Mr Russell.

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15:27 Naas – Tashi, Falcon Eight

The final big turf handicap of the season has attracted a really good strength in depth field of 17 and you can make a very good case out for several of these including that grand mare Maze Runner, the disappointing to date but now well handicapped Taipan and the classy top weight Falcon Eight.

The last named is the one I fear most as he looked desperately unlucky in the run in the Irish Cesarewitch Handicap, probably would have gone close to winning with a senior jockey on board. This classy seven-year-old ran out an easy winner of a 12f contest at the Curragh last time out and I find it hard to see him not being involved in the finish which is why I have marked him down as a saver.

However, Sheila Lavery’s charge Tashi has caught my eye on more than one occasion this term and at a big price and with a better ride will surely outrun his big odds.

He simply got going too late off a stop/start pace last time out in the Pollardstown Handicap at the Curragh and has handicapper himself by dropping himself out at the start and/or missing the kick as the stalls open. If he can at least jump with the field, then his mark of 87 looks very playable with.

15:35 Sandown – Ballyandy

This veterans contest is totally and utterly dominated by the top weight Lostintranslation who if running to within 7lbs of his best form from the last 12 months when winning the 1965 Chase at Ascot last November, he would surely be unbeatable. Joe Tizzard chose to bypass the Grand Sefton Chase at Aintree yesterday due to the soft ground with the 10-year-old and the key to his chance here is the ground remaining good for this afternoon.

However, there are mixed message about the weather and if the Esher track does get a smidgeon more than the anticipated downpours then it makes the likely short priced favourite vulnerable to Ballyandy.

In contrast to the Tizzard charge, the evergreen 11-year-old selection relishes a soft surface and showed over hurdles last season that he retains the majority of his ability with wins off marks of 127 and 135. A rating of 142 obviously asked a little bit more of him here, but for a horse of his age he is unexposed over fences (one win from six) and at this trip as well.

Paul Jacobs’ Sunday racing tips

14:15 Ffos Las – Dentley De Mee
15:13 Cork – Defi Bleu (each way)
15:27 Naas – Tashi, Falcon Eight
15:35 Sandown – Ballyandy

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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