Munster National winners trends to note for Sunday’s 3.35 at Limerick

16 runners set to slug it out over 3m.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

Limerick hosts this year’s running of the Munster National at 15:35 on Sunday.

A maximum field of 16 are declared for the Grade A handicap chase and the weights are headed by Joseph O’Brien’s 2020 Galway Plate winner Early Doors. Gordon Elliott, who saddled Tiger Roll to victory in 2016, has five runners including Aintree Grand National eighth Coko Beach.

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If you’re planning to have a bet on the race then hopefully we can lend a helping hand by taking a deep dive into the history books to find some winners’ trends…

The first trend to note is that the last 20 winners of the Munster National all ran over a distance of at least 2m4f when they last won before scoring at Limerick. A Wave Of The Sea, second in last year’s renewal, sadly falls short with his most recent win coming over 2m1f.

You want a horse that has been first past the post on multiple occasions. 18 of the last 20 winners of the Munster National had three to eight victories on their CV, which scrubs out Death Duty (10 career wins) and Ain’t That A Shame (one career win).

The last 20 winners of the Munster National were all no bigger than 16/1 in the betting on their previous start. We lose five more runners at this point – Coko Beach, Early Doors, Falco Blitz, Flouer and Hurricane Georgie.

Younger horses have a decent record in the Munster National and with 19 of the last 20 winners being no older than the average age of the field, it’s worth taking a look at those under the age of eight so we can tentatively rule out Darrens Hope, Defi Bleu, Donkey Years, Lieutenant Command and The Big Dog.

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Verdict

Max Flamingo, Velvet Elvis and Walking On Glass are the three runners that tick all four boxes.

Walking On Glass goes for the hat-trick but has risen 10lbs in the ratings for his handicap debut win last time out.

Velvet Elvis was sixth in this year’s Irish Grand National and runs off the same mark in his first outing since Fairyhouse.

Max Flamingo was a place behind in seventh on that day and his rating remains unchanged, although he has since pulled up in the Mayo National and finished third in a Grade 3 novice chase at Tipperary earlier this month.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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