Horse Racing tips: Paul Jacobs’ Super Sunday picks across the tracks

Paul is back to give us his best picks.

Paul Jacobs

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

Chelmsford 13:25 – Fanzone

This is arguably the most competitive race on the card at the Essex track and indeed you can make out a pertinent argument for at least seven of the 12 entries. Street Poet holds Lord Cherry on their course and distance form last time out, but the latter didn’t have the best of runs and should get closer to that rivals this time around. However, this looks a far better contest and preference is for the Liam Bailey trained selection, Fanzone. Last a winner off 58, (Musselburgh, 7f), he has since found it hard to be competitive off marks in the mid 60’s. But following six runs without threatening the judge, the five-year-old has finally been shown some mercy by the assessor.

Set to race off a mark of just 54 now, the son of Gutaifan showed that he retains the majority of his talent when a strong-finishing second back at the Edinburgh track, and now looks ready for this step back up to a mile. He has only had three runs on the all-weather, form reads 333, and he could be better suited to this turning sand course as opposed to the straight track at Gosforth Park and merits strong each-way support in a good race for this level.

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Pontefract 15:00 – Chill Chill

This Listed fillies race doesn’t look as competitive as the numbers would suggest. Although the Andrew Balding charge will hardly venture into the realms of the each-way price, I can’t let her go unbacked now that she should be about to hit her peak run this season.

The daughter of Exceed and Excel looked decidedly rusty on her first start in the Hackwood Stakes at Newbury. However, she was hardly disgraced in running subsequent Maurice de Gheest runner-up, Minzaal, to just under four lengths. A well backed 11/1 shot for the Stewards Cup at Goodwood, the selection was drawn on the wrong side of the track, but again served notice that she retains most of her ability when finishing 11 of 28 runners, beaten six and a half lengths.

This stiffer track should play to her strengths and she is given a confident vote to see off the likes of Symphony Perfect (better than her sixth in the Oak Tree at Goodwood and set to be suited by this drop in trip) and the in form and course and distance winner Gale Force Maya. The first named remains unexposed and if the prices allow may be worth a forecast mix with the selection and possibly a win saver.

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Southwell 15:53 – Sergeant Tibbs

Some old friends on show. The one factor we can be certain of here is a strong pace with three front runners and a whole host of pressers set to line up headed by the top weight Society Lion and veteran speedster Dark Shot. Of course Southwell is a track that normally favours pace, but that top speed could easily fall apart in this field and set this up for the likes of Dazzling Dan at a huge price and the lightly raced and in form, Sergeant Tibbs.

As his breeding suggests (by Bobby’s Kitten out of a Dubawi mare) distances beyond 7f were deemed to be his best set-up and he was campaigned up to 1m 2f as a juvenile and three-year-old.

However, dropped back to 6f for the first time at Newbury on his last start, he was a revelation and readily accounted for nine rivals by a nose, getting up in the final stride. A mere 3lbs penalty for that run looks very fair and with the anticipated red-hot pace up front, I can see this lightly-raced sort seeing off the majority of the field down the short home run.

Pontefract

Pontefract 16:10 – Yagood

We end with a two-mile handicap and there looks to be some natural pace on in this small field, courtesy of the Johnston’s Maggie’s Delight. That should suit several others in the line-up that have been crying out for a test of stamina over a stiff extended two miles, which they will certainly get at the M62 track.

Gordons Aura is a typical Sir Mark Prescott stayer that has yet to reveal his true ability and today could be the day we finally witness it. The son of Golden Horn is having only his sixth career start and his first over this distance following two staying on efforts over a quarter of a mile shorter at Yarmouth and Nottingham. However, he raced in fits and starts on both occasions and doesn’t look the easiest of conveyances. This turning and tougher track may well show him in a better light, but this kind of Prescott model is normally over bet in the races such as this and as such probably represents no value whatsoever.

Lindwall and Grimsby Town both have claims of sorts and should also be suited by the set-up of this contest, but we should get a really good run out of the top weight, Yagood. Recently transferred from Joseph Parr to Neil Mulholland, at first glance this son of Teofilo looks totally exposed, but at closer inspection his record over two miles on a fast surface reads 2112 and he gets those optimum conditions here. A mark of 71 is still workable, but I he could be capable of an awful lot better given the style of track and the probable fast pace on offer.

Paul Jacobs’ Sunday picks:

Chelmsford 13:25 – Fanzone
Pontefract 15:00 – Chill Chill
Southwell 15:53 – Sergeant Tibbs
Pontefract 16:10 – Yagood

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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