Horse Racing Tips: Paul Jacobs’ 4 big-value Sunday selections

Paul's back to select his value plays for Sunday, from Chester & Galway.

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13:50 Chester – Have Secret

As you would expect for a nursery at this time of the year this looks a real conundrum with most of these having their first run in a handicap and therefore unexposed and to complicate matters several of them trying a seventh furlong for the first time in their career.

With respect to In The Storm who has been brought along slowly by his astute trainer (drawn in four) and Chuck Taylor (may be better over further in time) the nod goes to the Richard Fahey runner, HAVE SECRET. A son of Havana Gold, he too will relish a further dissection of his stamina in time, but f they hell for leather here on ground which is only going to get softer, that stamina gene is only going to come into play even more.

I loved the way that this chestnut colt has stuck to his guns on his last two starts over seven and a half furlongs (Beverley) and six at Pontefract, both much stiffer tracks than Chester, but on both occasions the field went no pace at all. There are plenty of his eight rivals that like to be at the sharp end and I expect the selection to be making late inroads down the home straight. Dropped a pound to a rating of 105 here, that run should have put an edge on him and he poses the value alternative to John Ryan’s runner who could be worth having a saver on in this big field

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14:30 Galway – Fill The Tank (Each Way)

Some thoroughly exposed stayers in the line-up for this handicap hurdle and that makes the last time out winners, Perceval Legallois and Ramondo Dnzeo very much of interest. The last named would be my preferred of the duo as he finally got the fast run race that he needs and he fairly flew home under Donagh Meyler hitting the line very strongly, good ground is perfect for him.

However, I think that the son of Libertarian will be plenty short enough in the market place and I would rather go out on a limb and have an each-way play on the selection.

Sure to be a mammoth price, the eight-year-old FILL THE TANK is only one from nine over timber, but is still fairly lightly raced for a horse of his age. Following a 111-day break, he ran a race full of promise at Kilbeggan earlier in the month when an eleven and a half sixth of 14 to Waitnsee. That end result though doesn’t tell the whole story as the selection was prominent throughout, jumping well and only gave way as lack of hard condition showed approaching the penultimate flight.

Dropped a pound to a rating of 105 here, that run should have put an edge on him and he poses the value alternative to John Ryan’s runner who could be worth having a saver on in this big field handicap.

16:10 Galway – Sirjack Thomas

This valuable Ahonoora Handicap over seven furlongs sees several of the protagonists that ran in the race last year return and also a number of entries having their second run of the week which seems the fashion at the Galway Festival.

The 2021 winner, Current Option, looks to have been teed up nicely in defence of his title with a good run over a mile earlier in the week and with Cian MacRedmond taking 5lbs off his back, in real terms he defends his title off a 6lbs lower mark so his chance is there for all to see and his draw in stall 13 is fair enough. He may well be worthy a saver behind my main selection, SIRJACK THOMAS who was three and three quarter lengths off the winner last year in fifth spot despite having to come from way off the pace in the 15-runner field that day.

He finished four and half lengths off Current Option in that same extended mile contest this week, but was badly hampered at the start that day and once his chance had gone Mikey Sheehy was relatively easy on him as they turned for home. This has quite obviously been the plan since last year and he too is a full 6lbs lower than in 2021 and has a way better draw in stall five. I fancy he will be in at the sharp end of the race if gaining anything like a clear run through the contest and improve on last year’s showing.

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17:00 Chester – Baby Steps

This extended mile and a quarter handicap looks very competitive for this class four level and there should be plenty of pace on as well. With rain forecast through Saturday and to a lesser extent Sunday, only entries that enjoy give in the ground should really apply.

Natchez Trace has been given a real chance by the handicapper off a mark of 69 and ran very well over a quarter of a mile further last month when just finding the one pace in the closing stages behind Cogital. Cormier returns to the flat after last racing on the level nearly a year ago. He is the one most likely to benefit from a hot pace up top and Harry Russell takes 3lbs off taking his mark down to a quite viable 77.

But BABY STEPS is the one that really catches the eye. With a fair record fresh (comes here off a 99-day break), all of his best form has come with at least some dig in the ground and his recent figures at the track read 23324. Placed off as high as 81 during that course run, the selection I set to run off just 75 here and his chance is here for all to see under the in-form Daniel Muscutt.

Paul Jacobs’ horse racing tips

13:50 Chester – Have Secret
14:30 Galway – Fill The Tank (Each Way)
16:10 Galway – Sirjack Thomas
17:00 Chester – Baby Steps

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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