Horse Racing Tips: 16/1 shout in Rory Delargy’s Saturday ITV Racing picks

Rory's backing Nell Quickly (14:40 - Haydock) as he previews ITV's live action this Saturday

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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13:50 Sandown – Mitbaahy

MITBAAHY beat a good yardstick in Living The Dream here last time out in a similar sort of race. He’s got stall one, which I don’t think is as big of an advantage as it used to be here. But I thought Mitbaahy would be a little bit shorter in the markets than he is, given that he’s an upwardly mobile three-year-old, against largely more exposed horse, and I think he’ll take some beating.

14:05 Haydock – Speycaster

I’m gonna take a chance on a horse that’s a bigger price on the day, SPEYCASTER, running for Ralph Beckett. He shaped really well in a mile-and-a-quarter handicap at Nottingham on his return, that was strong form for the track. I thought he’d step up at York, but he didn’t look very comfortable on the ground, and he disappointed – but he’s been gelded since then, and the yard are in much better form. I’m happy to ignore the last run, and hope that a bit of time and gelding operation have done hi the world of good. The softer ground should suit him as well, so I’d give Speycaster a chance of hitting the frame here at a biggish price.

14:25 Sandown – Mostawaa (Each Way)

Sinjaari is definitely the horse to beat in this race, but he’s a horse who hasn’t actually won a race for quite a while, his last win came in 2020. So to be backing a horse at this level who’s two years without a win is asking a little bit. The one that I’m with on a big price here – if you can ignore one bad run – is MOSTAWAA for Heather Main, drawn out in stall ten. He’s a horse that’s got form over course and distance, he will be a big price because he ran very poorly at York last time out, but he was very badly drawn that day. I can see him bouncing back to form, although I don’t think he’s quite good enough to win this, but I think he’s a good each way shout. If he goes on to finish third, he’ll pay a little bit more than backing the favourite.

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14:40 Haydock – Nell Quickly

I’m prepared for soft ground, but you never really know what you’re gonna get at Haydock. I’d just about make Eshaada favourite for this race, but I’m going to take a chance on the rank outsider, NELL QUICKLY. She’ll definitely handle soft ground, she was a winner twice last season on soft ground at Salisbury and at Newmarket. She’s been working her way up through handicaps, so she ends up being the lowest rated of these, but every time she’s been given a test she passes it. She was unlikely to finish third here last time out, but whatever the ground is this time, it will be softer than on that occasion. If it’s a well run race, then Nell Quickly can prove herself to be better than her handicap mark, and will make the frame here at a big price.

15:00 Sandown – Heredia

It’s pretty hard to oppose HEREDIA, she’s been very progressive in her four start to date. This is a different test than the one she met at Ascot last time out, but that was her first run of a mile and she improved a chunk for it, she travelled really strongly and won with a fair bit in hand. She appears to be head and shoulders above the rest of the field on form. This could be a tactical race, and she tends to be held up in the rear in those races. But on all-known form, and on the way she’s progressing, Heredia does look a standout here, and I’m loathed to oppose her, even at short odds.

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15:15 Haydock – Liverpool Knight 

It may well be that the low numbers dominate here – all the fancied horses are drawn low. That would make Gaassee look a good bet, as he’s drawn at number five, but he’s a terrible price, and has been really short prices for all his wins to date. To get some value price-wise, I like one that’s drawn a bit wide, which is LIVERPOOL KNIGHT. He’s drawn in stall 13, but his run-style is to come from off the pace. He was very, very impressive when winning at Wolverhampton over a-mile-and-six, and showed a lot of speed that day, and one of his main assets is a turn of foot at the end of the races. He’s got no problem of softish ground, and I think he’s got a decent chance.

15:35 Sandown – Vadeni

The field is cut up to good horses, but a few of these would be dependent on a good pace to show their best form. Bay Bridge was caught out running a steady pace at Ascot, and it would also be a negative for Lord North and for Native Trail. The horse who’s probably best equipped to quicken off a slow pace is VADENI, and my only concern with him, is he might be on much faster ground than he’s raced on before. It’s not the easiest race to punt on because there’s questions about how strong the pace will be, but it’s probably not going to be strong, and as it stands Vadeni is the one who has the most appeal and has the least questions to answer.

Rory Delargy’s Saturday ITV Racing Tips

13:50 Sandown – Mitbaahy
14:05 Haydock – Speycaster
14:25 Sandown – Mostawaa (Each Way)
14:40 Haydock – Nell Quickly
15:00 Sandown – Heredia
15:15 Haydock – Liverpool Knight
15:35 Sandown – Vadeni

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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