Royal Ascot tips: Paul Jacobs’ day-by-day guide to your best bets

The Racing Post's naps table Champion tipster has a few value picks in mind over the next five days.

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*Odds quoted on some of the widgets are Future Racing/Antepost prices which means that if your selection does not run in the race for whatever reason, you will lose your stake under traditional antepost rules

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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With a fair weather week predicted it makes life so much easier for punters and pundits to have a play in advance of the declarations from Wednesday onwards with fast ground lovers set to come to the fore. Here are my main bets for the Royal meeting.

Tuesday 15:40 – King’s Stand Stakes – Arecibo & Mondammej

With a double figure field in the King’s Stand Stakes (3.40) and Golden Pal, Nature Strip and Tis Mervellous likely to set a hot pace I fancy a big price runner to hit the frame late on. Last year’s runner-up Arecibo and Mondammej both fit the bill and to a lesser extent Existent. There was little between this trio in the Temple Stakes at Haydock, while the last named held the advantage over the other two in the Palace House at Newmarket. At the prices, we can afford to play the two each-way and it will be just a matter of how brave Rossa Ryan and Cam Hardie will be to hold up their mounts against a red hot speed for as long as possible in the hope that the pace collapses up the final climb and they hit the four.

Tuesday, 4.20pm – St James’s Palace Stakes – Lusail (each-way)

Coroebus is the most likely winner of the St James’s Palace Stakes (4.20), but at odds-on I would rather back one to hit the frame. With the ground likely to be rattling fast, 2,000 Guineas’ sixth Lusail may hit the frame. Richard Hannon’s charge lost all chance at Newmarket when he got upset in the stalls and missed two beats, but readily picked up the majority of the field. Expect him to be ridden quietly by Pat Dobbs so he can make the three.

Tuesday 5pm – Ascot Stakes – Tribal Art

Later on, Mark and Charlie Johnston have three in the two and a half mile Ascot Stakes (5.00) and even though the Willie Mullins’ trained Bring on the Night could be thrown in at the weights he is priced accordingly and Tribal Art makes more appeal. The key to this son of Farhh is unlike his sire he requires top of the ground to show his best form. An eye catching running on effort at Nottingham three outings back, the last time he had his surface, showcases his chance here and there could be a load more to come on his first start over a marathon trip.

Wednesday 6.10pm, Kensington Palace Stakes – Soft Whisper

If the Irish raider doesn’t make the cut then Godolphin’s Soft Whisper is the play of the day in the Kensington Palace Handicap Stakes (18.10). A course and distance winner already this year, the daughter of Dubawi should go well under a 4lbs penalty if getting the luck of the draw.

Thursday 15:05 , King George V Stakes – Newfoundland

The Queen’s Vase could well be the destination of the progressive Newfoundland 24 hours earlier, but like many pundits I am banking on his brilliant handler taking advantage of a potentially good mark in the King George V Handicap (3.05).

This lovely moving son of Deep Impact was hugely impressive when he landed his maiden last time out at Navan and could almost start favourite here if the Ballydoyle maestro makes the right decision! An end to end gallop over this stiff mile and a half looks made to measure for him, but if he does go for the mile and three quarters test a day earlier I shall be backing him in that contest as well. Such a sweet moving charge should not be inconvenienced by the forecast quick surface.

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Friday, 15:05 – Commonwealth Cup – Slipstream

The Commonwealth Cup (3.05) looks wide open and a chance is taken with French raider Slipstream. He was a smooth winner of the Palisades Stakes at the Keeneland Festival in April and Christophe Clement seems to have found the key to the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Turf sixth, namely running him over sprint trips on a fast surface. He seems to have been overlooked at a double figure price.

I think this year’s Sandringham Handicap at 5.00 looks one of the best renewals of this race for a while and Heredia looks to have been underestimated in the betting. She won at York over seven furlongs despite everything going against her. An extra 220 yards looks right up her street and a double figure price is crying out for an each-way play.

Saturday 17:00, Wokingham Stakes – Mum’s Tipple

With 88 entries at the time of writing, the Wokingham Handicap is desperately hard to predict, but the fair weather forecast helps the cause. The lightly raced Deodar is of obvious interest off a mark 98, but even better value could come in the form of Mum’s Tipple. A cracking two-year-old, the handicapper has taken his time to relinquish his grip on the five-year-old, but a rating of 96 looks fair enough and he had no run in the Victoria Cup last time out.

A fast run six furlongs should play to his strengths so grab the big price available as this has reportedly been a long term plan hatched by Richard Hannon whose team are just striking form again at the right time.

    *All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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