Horse Racing tips: Matt Chapman’s nifty picks for Saturday’s ITV racing

Matt is on the hunt for winners at Newbury & Newmarket.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

13:35 Newbury – Ehraz

ITV Saturday gets under way here with a Listed race for three-year-old’s over 6f. I just can’t get the brilliant Ascot win of EHRAZ out of my mind. Of course he’s disappointed since that success in July of last year at both York and back at the Berkshires track. But there were signs against Go Bears Go last time that the talent was still there and he’ll certainly travel better than most to a furlong out under Jim Crowley for Richard Hannon.

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13:50 Newmarket – Ottoman Fleet

ITV also go to Newmarket on Saturday for this listed event for three-year-old’s over 1m2f. OTTOMAN FLEET looked like a decent horse when second on debut at Newbury behind useful stable companion Natural World. The slight worry here is a drop in trip, but the son of Sea the Stars is clearly highly regarded and should have excellent claims for Charlie Appleby and James Doyle.

14:10 Newbury – Ilaraab

This is a Group 3 over 1m4f. Scope is the improver but there has to be a chance the trip is too short. Eshaada was a Group 1 winner when last seen but I’ll risk ILARAAB who was a little disappointing behind the re-opposing Max Vega at this track last time. The hope is that run will have blown the cobwebs away and he might have a bit too much speed for this lot for William Haggas and Tom Marquand.

14:25 Newmarket – Harry Three

A handicap over 6f. Lir Speciale could be well handicapped but the each-way bet has to HARRY THREE for Clive Cox and Adam Kirby. The consistent sort has been tough in defeat twice at Newmarket this season and ran a decent second behind Ingra Tor last time. He’ll be very hard to kick out the frame at the very least. The main worry is creeping up the handicap ranks without winning.

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14:45 Newbury – Israr

A handicap over 1m 2f. ISRAR could easily be better than an 89-rated horse for the Gosdens and Jim Crowley. The lightly raced son of Muhaarar returned this season at Newmarket with a fair third behind Educator when after a slow start, he kept on steadily in the closing stages. I think he’ll come on bundles for that effort.

15:00 Newmarket – Saleymm

A handicap over 7f. I’m hoping SALEYMM will be allowed to bowl along in front here as he did when an excellent second in the Lincoln – over a furlong shorter he would be hard to catch. Connections changed tactics when he never really featured in the Spring Mile last time but while he disappointed me that day he still wasn’t beaten that far and a mark of 98 is workable.

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15:20 Newbury – Baaeed

The big one in the Group 1 Lockinge over 1m. It’s impossible to oppose BAAEED who is arguably the best horse in the world. At the moment, it’s horses abroad that dominate the world rankings.

Leading the way is Hong Kong beast Golden Sixty, US Breeders’ Cup winner Life is Good and Australian sprinter Nature Strip.

Baaeed doesn’t currently get ranked, as the William Haggas-trained colt has yet to be seen this season. But considering he’s already got a mark of 125 it really isn’t madness to think he might just be the planet’s most talented racehorse.

The rise of Baaeed has been something to behold. Shadwell’s colt hadn’t even seen a racecourse this time last year, but he made a big impression first time at Leicester in June of 2021, making a winning debut despite starting slowly and having much to do with a furlong to run.

On the back of that he followed up in a novice at Newmarket and then a Listed race at the same track, slamming Maximal by four lengths.

It was Goodwood next for the Group 3 Thoroughbred Stakes and a near seven length thrashing of El Drama. That day we all knew we had seen something special.

And special Baaeed proved himself, taking the Group 1 Prix du Moulin de Longchamp – defeating Keeneland’s Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Order of Australia – before heading to Ascot for the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. In what looked a match with Jacques le Marois winner Palace Pier, Baaeed came out well on top despite scoring by just a neck. If in that sort of form he’s far too good for this lot even on his seasonal debut.

So best of luck and pray for Yeeehaaas. You hear me Paddy?

Matt Chapman’s Saturday ITV Racing Tips

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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