Horse racing tips: Paul Jacobs’ best bets across the tracks on Sunday

Expert tipster Paul Jacobs has racked his brains and come up with these mega value picks

Paul Jacobs Bacardys

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

14:10 Hereford – Neville’s Cross

This may seem an unusual race to put in the ‘value column’ this week, but despite just the four runners it looks a fascinating affair from a tactical point of view.

The quartet have each made the running this term, all showing a tendency to race quite freely, but the one exception is the top weight and selection who has the ability to race from off the pace as well. That, in theory, should give him a nice tow into this contest.

You could make a valid argument that he is not outstandingly well handicapped, but the make-up of the race is a huge plus and Stan Sheppard seems to have forged a good understanding with the seven-year-old.

Expect him to arrive late on the scene and put his stamina to good use as they corner the home turn and the short run home.

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14:37 Cork – It’s Snowing

The majority of these three-year-olds will be attempting this seven furlong trip for the first time in their careers in their second season and quite a few of them will relish it and indeed further in time as we go through the first half of the turf flat season.

Having moved from George Boughey to Adrian Murray, top weight Forca Brasil looks one of the real dark horses in this field and any market moves should be heeded, while Ecoutez, off a lowly mark of 69, should also take a step forward here for the extra yardage, but I prefer his stable mate.

This son of Kodiac just lacked that little bit of pace as a juvenile on his last three starts over six furlongs after initially being campaigned over seven on his first two outings.

Returned to an extra 220 yards here, I think he will relish a fast run race and it is worth noting that he ran well on his career debut last year despite running freely and green, but looking a real eye-catcher from start to finish.

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Horse-Racing-generic-Cork

14:55 Fairyhouse – Song Of Earth

This two and three quarter mile handicap chase probably revolves around the red hot and in form Where’s Frankie who completed a hat-trick of victories with a game win here over the best part of three miles at the back end of February. Now a full 14lbs higher in the ratings and in a better race over shorter, he will quite obviously need a career best to land the four timer. However, he may not have finished improving and is rightly respected.

But he in turn makes the market for the other 13 runners and it is the seven-year-old selection that catches the eye.

Attempting three miles on his last two outings, in better races, seemed to stretch his stamina to the full on both occasions so this drop back in trip looks the logical direction to go. A 2lbs drop in the ratings is the cream on the cake for me and with the outstanding Danny Mullins on board I fully expect him to be in the thick of things at the business end.

 

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16:15 Plumpton – Wild Wilbur

This staying handicap hurdle has very little strength in depth to it and it could be that a second attempt over three miles finally sees the top weight come of age.

Emma Lavelle’s charge had promised much over two and a half miles at the track two outings back when staying on strongly in a fair maiden hurdle. Stepped up to this lung bursting trip last time out at Southwell on his handicap debut, the son of Presenting simply failed to fire, not able to get a shot at the leaders off a very moderate pace and not persevered with by Tom Bellamy once his chance had gone pulling up his mount up well before the second last flight.

There are at least two prominent runners in this field to ensure a better pace and dropped a massive 5lbs for that run I fully expect the selection to bounce back here before being raised in class. 

Paul Jacobs’ Top Tips:

14:10 Hereford – Neville’s Cross
14:37 Cork – It’s Snowing
14:55 Fairyhouse – Song Of Earth
16:15 Plumpton – Wild Wilbur

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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