ITV Saturday gets under way here with a Listed handicap chase over an extended 2m. This is tough. GOLD DES BOIS is gradually edging down the handicap ratings and must have an each-way chance for Iain Jardine and Conor O’Farrell. He’s 10lb lower than when second at Kelso in October and while he’s no good thing, he might travel round better than some.
ITV are also at Newbury on Saturday for this handicap hurdle over 2m3f. MISTER MARBLES started at the right end of the handicap and can follow up a recent win at Taunton here. The Philip Hobbs runner is only up 2lb for the victory and has Tom O’Brien up. He could easily make all the running with just 10st 10lb to carry.
Now a novices’ handicap chase over 3m and it’s another competitive race. DOYEN BREED is a strong stayer and might keep on better than some in this test. The Sandy Thomson runner is ridden by the excellent Ryan Mania and has been consistent all season with a decent success at Hexham along the way. His second at Ascot last time in a Grade 2 was a decent effort.
A conditional jockeys’ handicap veterans’ handicap chase over nearly 3m. Basically young riders aboard old horses! LA CAVSA NOSTRA is a lightly raced strong stayer for Neil Mulholland who did well to score at Hereford last time. He’s up 3lb for that success but is still the right end of the handicap and has Hugh Nugent up doing the steering.
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Time for the Scottish Champion Hurdle, a limited handicap over 2m. Sometimes the Scottish Champion Hurdle features a right top-notcher giving weight away, but not this time. The limited handicap is competitive, though, with the tough West Cork likely to top the market after his fine fourth in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham for which he’s been put up 1lb.
Defending champion Milkwood has to give West Cork 8lb which won’t be easy, but it might be ONEMOREFORTHEROAD who is tough to stop. He’s been a credit to Neil King this term, and the progress continued last time when fourth at Sandown in a big field. The seven-year-old is down 1lb here in the handicap and everything suggests a big run under Jack Quinlan with 10st 10lb on his back.
A Grade 2 now in a Limited Handicap novices’ mares’ hurdle over an extended 2m4f. SPEECH BUBBLE might well land this for Noel Williams and Gavin Sheehan. Her second at Sandown last time was given a big boost by the winner Love Envoi at Cheltenham, and she’s only gone up 2lb for that. She won at this track the time before and seems to stay well.
STUDY THE FORM IN STYLE
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Grade 2 company here in the Future Champion Novices’ Chase over an extended 2m4f. DO YOUR JOB is the one I trust most to run to form. He stepped up to this distance last time and was always doing enough to score for trainer Michael Scudamore. This is not easy but should give Richard Patrick a decent spin.
The big betting race of the day in the Grade 3 Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase over 4m. The one that fascinates me is Irish raider HISTORY OF FASHION, who lacks experience and has a terrible win-to-run record, but who might just absolutely lap up this distance. History of Fashion is trained by Pat Fahy in Co Carlow, and has only been seen Under Rules thirteen times, scoring just once at Down Royal over 3m. He hacked up that day.
That was on January 25, and afterwards he went against Win my Wings in the Eider only to unseat at the sixth fence. History of Fashion was last out at Navan, and he kept on well without ever looking like winning in a handicap chase. It’s hard to say he’s thrown in off 130, but I suspect this trip could bring out a totally different performance. It’s a chance I’ll risk with a few quid each-way.
So best of luck and pray for Yeeehaaas. You hear me Paddy?
Horse Racing tips: Matt Chapman’s Saturday’s ITV racing 8 best bets
Matt is all over the tellybox action at Ayr and Newbury.
By Matt Chapman / Horse Racing Tips / 5 months ago
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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
13:15 Ayr – Gold Des Bois
ITV Saturday gets under way here with a Listed handicap chase over an extended 2m. This is tough. GOLD DES BOIS is gradually edging down the handicap ratings and must have an each-way chance for Iain Jardine and Conor O’Farrell. He’s 10lb lower than when second at Kelso in October and while he’s no good thing, he might travel round better than some.
13:35 Newbury – Mister Marbles
ITV are also at Newbury on Saturday for this handicap hurdle over 2m3f. MISTER MARBLES started at the right end of the handicap and can follow up a recent win at Taunton here. The Philip Hobbs runner is only up 2lb for the victory and has Tom O’Brien up. He could easily make all the running with just 10st 10lb to carry.
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13:50 Ayr – Doyen Breed
Now a novices’ handicap chase over 3m and it’s another competitive race. DOYEN BREED is a strong stayer and might keep on better than some in this test. The Sandy Thomson runner is ridden by the excellent Ryan Mania and has been consistent all season with a decent success at Hexham along the way. His second at Ascot last time in a Grade 2 was a decent effort.
14:10 Newbury – La Cavsa Nostra
A conditional jockeys’ handicap veterans’ handicap chase over nearly 3m. Basically young riders aboard old horses! LA CAVSA NOSTRA is a lightly raced strong stayer for Neil Mulholland who did well to score at Hereford last time. He’s up 3lb for that success but is still the right end of the handicap and has Hugh Nugent up doing the steering.
WANT FAST RESULTS? NO PROBLEM!
14:25 Ayr – Onemorefortheroad
Time for the Scottish Champion Hurdle, a limited handicap over 2m. Sometimes the Scottish Champion Hurdle features a right top-notcher giving weight away, but not this time. The limited handicap is competitive, though, with the tough West Cork likely to top the market after his fine fourth in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham for which he’s been put up 1lb.
Defending champion Milkwood has to give West Cork 8lb which won’t be easy, but it might be ONEMOREFORTHEROAD who is tough to stop. He’s been a credit to Neil King this term, and the progress continued last time when fourth at Sandown in a big field. The seven-year-old is down 1lb here in the handicap and everything suggests a big run under Jack Quinlan with 10st 10lb on his back.
14:45 Newbury – Speech Bubble
A Grade 2 now in a Limited Handicap novices’ mares’ hurdle over an extended 2m4f. SPEECH BUBBLE might well land this for Noel Williams and Gavin Sheehan. Her second at Sandown last time was given a big boost by the winner Love Envoi at Cheltenham, and she’s only gone up 2lb for that. She won at this track the time before and seems to stay well.
STUDY THE FORM IN STYLE
15:00 Ayr – Do Your Job
Grade 2 company here in the Future Champion Novices’ Chase over an extended 2m4f. DO YOUR JOB is the one I trust most to run to form. He stepped up to this distance last time and was always doing enough to score for trainer Michael Scudamore. This is not easy but should give Richard Patrick a decent spin.
15:35 Ayr – History Of Fashion (each-way)
The big betting race of the day in the Grade 3 Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase over 4m. The one that fascinates me is Irish raider HISTORY OF FASHION, who lacks experience and has a terrible win-to-run record, but who might just absolutely lap up this distance. History of Fashion is trained by Pat Fahy in Co Carlow, and has only been seen Under Rules thirteen times, scoring just once at Down Royal over 3m. He hacked up that day.
That was on January 25, and afterwards he went against Win my Wings in the Eider only to unseat at the sixth fence. History of Fashion was last out at Navan, and he kept on well without ever looking like winning in a handicap chase. It’s hard to say he’s thrown in off 130, but I suspect this trip could bring out a totally different performance. It’s a chance I’ll risk with a few quid each-way.
So best of luck and pray for Yeeehaaas. You hear me Paddy?
Matt Chapman horse racing tips
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change
Saturday’s racing tips
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