Horse racing tips: a 15/2 shot among Timeform’s top Ayr selections

The TF wizzes fancy Stormy Judge (15:35) as one to beat in the Scottish Grand National

ayr-timeform Flat racing

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

13:15 – Sebastopol

SEBASTOPOL made the most of a good opportunity to resume winning ways at Kempton two weeks ago, responding well to a change of headgear as he forged clear in the straight to win by six and a half lengths. The runner-up gave that form a boost when going one better on his next start at Ascot and Sebastopol could still be well treated from 8 lb higher in the weights than last time. Now that he’s back in the winning groove, he remains very much one to keep on the right side.

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13:50 – Sounds Russian

SOUNDS RUSSIAN was totally dominant when completing a hat-trick over fences at Kelso in February, always going best and seemingly in control from a long way out. He had 22 lengths to spare over his closest pursuer at the line and the form looks even better now than it did at the time after the runner-up won next-time-out. A most progressive young chaser, Sounds Russian can defy another hike in the weights here to make it four wins in a row.

14:25 – Anna Bunina

ANNA BUNINA returned to form when third on her most recent outing at Musselburgh, doing her best work late on to be beaten only seven lengths. She has seemingly been brought along to peak in the spring and it’s worth remembering how well she ran to fill the runner-up spot in this race 12 months ago, when passing the post less than four lengths behind the winner. Crucially, Anna Bunina is 5 lb lower in the weights today and the promise she showed last time suggests another big run could be on the cards.

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Ayr

15:00 – Minella Drama

MINELLA DRAMA was below form on his latest outing at Kempton, but it’s far too soon to be writing him off after just one bad run. He had looked a smart novice in four previous starts over fences, producing his best effort when easily winning a Grade Two at Haydock in January by nine and a half lengths. That form is much better than anything his four rivals here have achieved, so he is fancied to give them weight and a beating to regain the winning thread.

15:35 – Stormy Judge

STORMY JUDGE shaped better than the bare result when last seen finishing fifth in the Leinster National at Naas, possibly making his effort earlier than ideal before getting tired late on. Still just a seven-year-old, he remains relatively unexposed as a staying chaser and it’s highly unlikely that we’ve seen the best of him yet. A BHA mark of 139 already looks more than fair judged on the balance of his form and this race – in which his full brother Mister Fogpatches finished third last year – is likely to have been his target for some time.

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16:10 – Bass Rock

BASS ROCK won this race 12 months ago before defying an 8 lb higher mark to follow up on his reappearance at Carlisle in October. He failed to add to his tally when stepped up to three miles in two subsequent starts before the turn of the year, but today’s conditions should suit him ideally now back at a more suitable trip on good ground. His absence isn’t a concern either and he seems unlikely to give up his crown without a fight.

16:45 – Getareason

GETAREASON has fallen a long way in the weights and he finally took advantage with an easy victory at Newcastle two weeks ago, quickly asserting on the run-in to land the spoils by three lengths. This will be tougher following a 4 lb rise in the weights, but he has been competitive from higher marks still earlier in his career. Peter Coleman, who is decent value for his 3 lb claim, also takes over in the saddle, so it will be disappointing if Getareason can’t go close again in his follow-up bid.

17:15 – Magic Wave

MAGIG WAVE shaped encouragingly when filling the runner-up spot on his debut at Doncaster last month, doing his best work at the finish to pass the post only two and a half lengths behind the winner. He is likely to have finished closer still but for hanging under pressure and there should be more to come from him with that experience under his belt. In a wide-open finale, he gets the vote to open his account for the in-form Robert Walford yard (four winners from last eight runners).

Timeform’s Ayr Tips:

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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