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The From The Horse’s Mouth team took a close look at the Brown Advisory Novices Chase, with top pundit Ruby Walsh, our trader Frank Hickey and tipster Rory Delargy giving their thoughts.
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RUBY WALSH:
“I feel the market for the Brown Advisory Novices Chase could change dramatically. Galopin Des Champs could be great value at his current price if he runs but when I saw him bolt up at Leopardstown in December I did wonder why you would want him to go further and step him up. 2m4f is his ideal distance.
“Bravemansgame is a wonderful jumper and he did well to beat Ahoy Senor at Kempton on Boxing Day. However, that race was run slowly so I’m not sure it’s a fair reflection of either horse.
“I wouldn’t put anyone off backing Capodanno or Fury Road either. They could both be shorter next week. I would hold fire for a little bit as I see the market changing.”
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FRANK HICKEY:
“I’ve already backed Jungle Boogie in the antepost market for this one as I have doubts over Galopin Des Champs and Bravemansgame’s suitability. I feel Jungle Boogie is tailor made for the race. I would skip Leopardstown with him and go for the Towton at Wetherby this week. Failing that, the Ten Up at Navan or even the Reynoldstown at Ascot would work.
“I’m a huge fan of Jungle Boogie but he’s lightly raced and he has had only had three runs. In November 2020 he won his bumper at Clonmel over 2m on heavy ground, beating Angels Dawn, who did manage to place in a Grade 2 at Limerick over Christmas. That may flatter her but she is a solid 120 mare. Third was Mercury Lane, who is in my tracker to win a 3m handicap chase when getting soft ground and is rated 116 over fences and 125 over hurdles.
“Jungle Boogie won his maiden hurdle at Punchestown on soft ground over 2m4f, winning by 30l. Second Ahead Of The Field is rated 118 in the UK, third Glentruan is rated 125 in the UK and fourth John Adams won recently at Punchestown over fences and is now rated 125.
“Jungle Boogie was off nearly a year before his chase debut at Fairyhouse over 2m5.5f on yielding ground and was impressive when winning by 12l. Second was Diol Ker who was fourth in the Thyestes off 135 and Grand Paradis who only just touched off at Fairyhouse at the weekend in a beginners chase. In that race Jungle Boogie led and jumped well but looked to be a spot of bother turning in, as Grand Paradis was travelling a bit better.
“Jungle Boogie was really strong from between the final two fences and was relentless. The time was much slower than the Grade 3 Mares Chase that was run that day though. The way he shaped that day, I think he could be a right tool when trying 3m. He is tailor made for it and I would think is very likely to improve over 3m. However, If Jungle Boogie doesn’t end up running in this one, Capodanno for Willie Mullins is a big player.”
RORY DELARGY:
“I would be happy to back Ahoy Senor now for this one. If he’s going for the Towton at Wetherby, you don’t send a horse there if you’re targeting the Gold Cup at Cheltenham. This is the only novice race he’s in at the festival so it would suggest he’ll run here.
“There’s a big chance they’d go to Aintree instead but I feel they’re happy to try both. Ahoy Senor is a fair price so there’s a bit of value in backing him.”
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CHELTENHAM ANTEPOST TIPS
- Cheltenham Tips: Ruby Walsh’s antepost best bet for the Turners Novices’ Chase
- Cheltenham Tips: Turners Novices’ Chase antepost preview from Rory Delargy
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