Horse racing tips: Paul Jacobs best bets for Friday’s ITV Racing

The top tipster goes race-by-race with his ITV tellybox tips despite Market Rasen's abandonment.

Paul Jacobs

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*Market Rasen has been abandoned due to frost

With Grand Lord possibly better off over 2m 4f and top weight Le Grand Lion saddled with a penalty for his narrow Huntingdon success, I fancy Florrie Knox could be the each-way call. The nine-year-old is lightly raced and needed the run when returning from a 336-day break at Leicester. With that run behind him and the step back up to a staying trip, the son of Gold Well can see off these moderate rivals before being stepped back up in grade through the spring when the ground will be even more in his favour.

Lingfield 13:50 – One True King

Even at a bare two miles this is going to be a proper test for these speedsters, but everything looks set in place for a huge run from the Twiston-Davies charge, One True King. At his best with plenty of dig in the turf, the youngster opened his account over the larger obstacles at the fourth time of asking at Sandown Park when keeping on strongly down the stretch to beat off that good yard stick Darebin a length and three quarters. An early blunder ruined his chance of a follow-up next time out at Ascot, but the handicapper has very kindly dropped him 2lbs for that run and that could give him the edge over the likes of Frero Banbou and Le Ligerien.

 

 Market Rasen 14:05 – Angels Landing

Ladykiller is bound to come forward from her much needed run at Newbury when she bumped into a well treated sort and this looks the right follow-up race. The mare is respected, but may have her work cut out to deal with the Ian Williams’ trained light weight, Angels Landing. Placed on three of her four hurdling starts, the daughter of Fascinating Rock has a bit of improvement in her jumping, but has been given some tough tasks by her shrewd handler to date. To my eyes this represents an much easier chance and she could be a 115 plus rated hurdler in time.

Lingfield 14:25 – Emitom

On The Blind Side has been taking on the cream of the staying hurdling division this term, but has simply been out of his depth and this represents a much easier task. However he may not be able to handle Emitom who has run two solid races over fences this season, but looks as though he will appreciate this return to the smaller obstacles. Gavin Sheehan will have him at the sharp end throughout and with his quick jumping a huge asset, the eight-year-old can see off Nicky Henderson’s charge and the year younger Calva D’Auge.

 

Lingfield Races jumps

Market Rasen 14:40 – Hidden Beauty

Sometimes it is hard to work out the collateral form between these bumper mares with so little evidence to go on. To the eye, the winning debut of the Fergal O’Brien’s charge Hidden Beauty was hugely promising because not only did she ran green throughout the contest at Ffos Las, but she also appeared to hate the deep, drying ground that day. She has any amount of improvement in her (was well supported in the market that day). Kim Bailey has given Flirtatious Girl plenty of time to strengthen up, but she has a tough task giving 4lbs to the selection and a bigger danger could well be Mullenbeg from the in form Milton Harris yard.

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Lingfield 15:00 – Hold That Taught

There is some pretty good staying chasing novice form on display here and all seven runners are within 6lbs of each other on my private ratings. Fantastikas has been taking some of the best, young, lung-busters in the business and was far from disgraced in the Paddy Power Novices Chase and the December Novices Chase. I just feel he wants better ground than this and may well have to settle for a place yet again behind Hold That Taught. The Venetia Williams’ charge blew out in the Welsh Grand National when a well-backed 17/2 shot, but this is a return to calmer waters. He looks a value call over his six rivals.

Market Rasen 15:15 – Flegmatik

This is arguably the most competitive race of the day and I have changed my mind twice about the selection during my form research! I thought that race Hunny Moon won here in November fell apart in her favour and although a 3lbs penalty is more than fair, she may find the Dan Skelton runner Flegmatik too hot to handle at the weights. The selection was far from disgraced in a Class 2 event at Kempton Park, a first run since wind surgery, and now that he knows he can go through with his effort hopefully without any pain, he can finish his race off better and account for Hunny Moon and Ashfield Paddy.

Lingfield 15:35 – Metier

The 2021 Tolworth Hurdle winner is gradually finding his level again and I make him the best bet of the day of the televised races. He took a major step forward from his seasonal debut in a Listed hurdle at Sandown Park (pulled up) when just outpaced in a deeper event behind the classy Tritonic at Ascot last month. He gets a chance to race from the same mark here (139) and as long as the ground remains deep, Metier can make it four from seven over hurdles with the likes of Gowel Road (jumped poorly last time out at Newbury) and the four-timer seeking Lucky Max, his biggest dangers.

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