Horse Racing tips: A lively 7/1 shot leads our Southwell selections today

The Racing Post’s tipster likes Above Suspicion in the 12:45.

Southwell Jumps racing 2021

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12:15 Croagh Patrick

Most of these cannot be approached with much enthusiasm, but CROAGH PATRICK (NAP) made a promising chase debut under rules at Uttoxeter and although there’s clearly a bit for him to prove over this 6-furlong longer trip, he makes plenty of appeal. Mozzaro also has a stamina query, but he looks the most likely danger following the win here last month on his chasing debut.

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12:45 Above Suspicion

Dreamsundermyfeet and Armattiekan (preferred in that order) have won seven good-ground chases between them this year and may still have more to offer, but today’s forecast slower ground is a nagging concern for both.

Preference is for ABOVE SUSPICION, who would almost certainly have preferred a stronger pace when third over 2m 1f at Market Rasen last month and has significant potential to better that performance over today’s longer trip.

13:20 Abuffalosoldier

Pour Me Another and Scarpered represent stables with excellent records in bumpers, but ABUFFALOSOLDIER was a clear third in a race that is working out quite well at Uttoxeter in October and he is taken to put his experience to good use here.

Royal Mogul was never seriously involved and didn’t look straightforward at Cheltenham last month, but he was only a 4-1 shot there and his sights have been lowered here.

13:55 Horizon D’ainay

Easily the most appeal lies with HORIZON D’AINAY following his promising second at Market Rasen on his hurdling debut. Brianna Rose looks the most likely to follow him home, ahead of Order Of St John, although several of the others did show some ability in bumpers or on the Flat.

14:25 Peltwell

Opposing PELTWELL since the cheekpieces went on has been a costly business and, although the handicapper keeps raising her, the way in which she grabbed the lead late on at Hereford last time suggests she probably has even more to give. That earns her the vote ahead of the in-form Laura Bullion followed by handicap debutante Cup Of Coffee.

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14:55 Sayadam

Preference is for SAYADAM who has the best chance on RPRs and could find extra with the step up in trip. This is a strong race however, with Kayf Hernando and Rocky Lake also having won over hurdles, while the well-related Hob House won his bumper here despite looking very much a work in progress. Idol’s Eye shaped well on his hurdling debut here and he may emerge as the selection’s chief opponent.

15:25 Foillan

Richard Newland’s lightly raced six-year-old FOILLAN was an emphatic winner on last month’s handicap debut at Hexham and could still be well treated off today’s 7lbs higher mark. He gets the vote ahead of Blow By Blow, who stuck well to his task when second at Newcastle three weeks ago.

Zara’s Universe is 6lbs out of the weights here, but the form of her last-time-out second at Huntingdon has been very well advertised by the other two placed horses.

Southwell tips:

12:15 Croagh Patrick
12:45 Above Suspicion
13:20 Abuffalosoldier
13:55 Horizon D’ainay
14:25 Peltwell
14:55 Sayadam
15:25 Foillan

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