Horse Racing tips: Paul Jacobs’ 4 value plays across the tracks on Sunday

Our tipster Paul has plays from Kempton, Naas, Cork and Sedgefield for you to check out.

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*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

13:00 Kempton – Painless Potter

When you have a juvenile hurdler unbeaten, and indeed impressive on his two starts for the peerless Nicky Henderson in the famous green colours of Simon Munir and Isaac Soueade with Daryl Jacob on board it would seem madness to oppose him in his hat-trick bid.

However, it takes a really smart individual to defy a double penalty and despite those smooth wins at Plumpton and Huntingdon, it is worth noting that the Plumpton race, in particular, hasn’t really worked out.

That leads me in the direction then of the Alan King trained youngster making his timber topping debut.

The four-year-old was not too shoddy on the flat having been rated as high as 91 as a two-year-old when allowed to take his chance in the Group Two Vintage Stakes at Goodwood.

Admittedly his second season in training was a bit of a disappointment with just two placed efforts from six starts, but he was far from disgraced in a trio of class three handicaps and looks an athletic sort that could well take to this game.

In receipt of a hefty 10lbs from the likely odds-on favourite I think he is worth taking a chance on here and Kingy would hardly enter him here unless he thought that he could do himself justice.

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14:15 Naas – Threebagsfull

This valuable auction event has plenty of young horses hiding their real talent under a bushel but it could still pay to side with one of the more experienced individuals.

Chicago Soldier obviously has sound claims on what he has shown so far including not being disgraced when last of five in the Group Two Beresford Stakes last time out, but he remains a maiden after six starts and preference is for Eurocrat and the selection.

The first named saw off 15 rivals when landing a maiden over the course and distance last time out and can probably be marked up for that success as he raced quite freely through the first quarter mile before battling on well for a neck success.

The runner-up, Corporal Violette re-opposes here on exactly the same terms so there should be very little between them. However, stepping up to a seventh furlong for the first time in his career, Threebagsfull looks well worth an interest.

At first glance the son of Requinto looks quite exposed having been to the well in his juvenile season no less than nine times. However, he has always looked in need of a trip and that was further confirmed by his running on second in another big sales race at the Curragh last month.

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14:30 Cork – Double Jubilee

You could readily argue that this is the most difficult race of the day from the four meetings to decipher being an ordinary looking 80-109 staying handicap hurdle in which only two of the 19 runners were winners last time out, both of which are burdened with biggish penalties to defy of 9 and 7lbs respectively.

Of that pair, the hat-trick seeking Mullaghmore Way is just preferred as the mare merely had to be pushed out last time out to get on top on the closing stages and she should be even better suited to the return to good ground.

Not So Simply and Shes’therightone have also been knocking on the door of late and both have each-way claims in a wide open contest, but I am going to suggest the seven-year-old selection, another sure to be better suited to this sounder surface.

The gelding showed in his first season that speed was not his main asset so it was no surprise that when he was finally stepped up to two and a half miles for the first time (seventh start) that he took a massive step forward when an eye-catching staying on third in a maiden hurdle at Wexford.

Sticky ground wouldn’t have suited him the next time we saw him at Sligo added to which he seemingly didn’t take to racing prominently as he refused to settle.

But last time out at Kilbeggan the son of Ask was back on track when coming from way off the pace in a slowly run race to finish a never nearer sixth of 13.

This is obviously a much more competitive event, but is packed full of players that like to be at the sharp end of the contest. So if Danny Mullins (first time he has partnered the selection) manages to settle him in rear and bide his time we could be ready to see a career best effort again off a lowly handicap rating of 102.

15:30 Sedgefield – Montanna

The first of literally dozens of Nationals at the winter game on the mainland is kick started by the Durham edition at Sedgefield this afternoon over an extended three miles and five furlongs and despite the decent ground this will be a real lung buster with several front runners and pressers set to line up.

On his old form you can expect Brian Boranha to run well for Peter Niven and indeed the handicapper has given him a real chance off a mark of 122, was racing off 130 only last year and his last run in spring behind Silva Eclipse suggests that he still retains the majority of his ability.

His conqueror also lines up here, but arguably wants more give in the ground to show his best form and the best alternative is the busy selection.

Montanna has been kept on the go through the summer months by Peter Bowen winning three times from nine starts since the start of April.

Those victories came off marks of 100, 110 and 113, but his run in defeat last time out at Uttoxeter off a rating of 118 strongly suggested he may not be done with yet.

Racing over three and a quarter miles at the Potteries’ track, the selection lost his position in a stop start race four out and look set to drop back through the field like a stone. However, he got his second wind from the penultimate obstacle and stayed on strongly to be beaten by a diminishing two and a quarter lengths by the winner.

The extra three furlongs here on good ground should prove right up his street and he looks the value each-way call.

Paul Jacobs’ value plays:

13:00 Kempton – Painless Potter
14:15 Naas – Threebagsfull
14:30 Cork – Double Jubilee
15:30 Sedgefield – Montanna

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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