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Sunday’s Longchamp smash-up looks a race for the ages with multiple Classic winners going hoof-to-hoof in the Paris feature at 3.05pm. Paddy’s top of the shop in the win and each-way markets but there’s a stack of other markets that can help you stay ahead of the field. One of the more popular is Match Betting where your selection only has to finish ahead of its rival to give you a return.
So even if your pick finishes out the back of the tellybox – once its ahead of it’s matched rival – you still win.
With this season’s Epsom Derby winner (Adayar), Irish Derby & English St Leger winner (Hurricane Lane), a dual Oaks winner (Snowfall) and a Breeders’ Cup winning mare (Tarnawa) all in the line-up, the 100th Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe looks a cracker.
Who knows who’ll come out on top but if you fancy one to beat the other – Paddy’s got your back.
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The stablemates – Adayar v Hurricane Lane
William Buick has plumped for the Epsom Derby & King George VI winner Adayar so James Doyle rides Irish Derby & English St Leger winner Hurricane Lane. The latter was actually Godolphin’s favoured option going into Epsom before Adayar stole his thunder. Both are strong travellers and will want to force the pace. Adayar had an interrupted preparation with an infection while Hurricane Lane only got the call up after a weekend gallop. The market favours Adayar but Hurricane Lane has danced every dance asked of him so far and while a St Leger winner has never won the Arc, he’s more than a one-trick pony. If you fancy him to finish ahead of his more illustrious stablemate in any position, the match bet is the way to go.
Match bet: Hurricane Lane to beat Adayar @ Evs
The favourites – Adayar v Tarnawa
The top three-year-old colt of the season Adayar takes on the five-year-old Irish mare Tarnawa who improved with every run last season. An impressive course and distance win in the Prix de L’Opera was followed up by a subsequent Group 1 Breeders’ Cup Turf win over Magical, that marked her down as a serious contender for Europe’s richest prize.
An all-guns-blazing defeat to the now retired St Mark’s Basilica over 1m 2f should leave her spot on for this contest and her course form, the ability to handle soft ground and quicken off a strong pace will make her very hard to beat, even if she is looking to become the first five-year-old mare to win the race in 84 years.
Match bet: Tarnawa to beat Adayar @ 4/5
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The Fillies – Tarnawa v Snowfall
You could argue that Aidan O’Brien’s ante-post favourite Snowfall would be heading the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe market had she not suffered a shock defeat by the now absent Teona in her prep run for Sunday’s feature. The English, Irish and Yorkshire Oaks heroine hadn’t put a hoof wrong all season until then and Frankie Dettori was in no doubt that he was to blame for her defeat.
She should still be a big player under Ryan Moore, but will she be good enough to beat compatriot Tarnawa?
Match Bet: Tarnawa to beat Snowfall @ 1/2
The also rans – Baby Rider v Bubble Gift
These two French runners are more Championship than Premier League contenders on all known form and are unlikely to trouble the principals. However, they’ve already had their own private duel a couple of times this season and it’s 1-1 going into Sunday. A nose separated the pair in the five-runner Prix Niel last month with Bubble Gift coming from last to first to win at level weights. Their previous clash in the Grand Prix de Paris also over course and distance saw Baby Rider finish a half-length up on his rival in fifth place, in a much deeper race, behind Hurricane Lane.
Baby Rider’s three victories have come at 1m to 1m 2f and he raced too keenly when beaten a nose by Bubble Gift last time over 1m 4f. With the pace of the race likely to be unrelenting up front – the finishing kick from off the lead may just swing the odds in favour of Bubble Gift finishing ahead of Baby Rider again.
Match Bet: Bubble Gift to beat Baby Rider @ 4/5
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