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We’re going to see a lot of these over the winter and it’s all about finding an angle in on the day. A lot of these are quite exposed but one who isn’t is the Aido McGuinness-trained Rosie Rock who ran third at Fairyhouse last week on her first start for the Co. Dublin trainer.
I like that she is being turned around quickly for this contest and given her form over 6 furlongs she should be finishing strongly over this 5 furlong trip. She’s a big player for me.
An open contest in this claiming race and the one I’m most interested in is Princess Plumeria. She made a nice reappearance at the Curragh and over this track and trip should take a lot of beating for Ger Lyons and Colin Keane from a good draw in stall 5.
An apprentice race over 6 furlongs where Resourceful Man catches my eye. He’s only had the seven starts but three of them have come at this venue. He’s drawn nicely in stall 6 and one of the best apprentices in the country, Scott McCullough is booked to ride.
Livia Celeste put in a remarkable run at the Curragh last time despite her saddle slipping and has trialed very well at this venue earlier in the year. The horse that finished second that day – History – came out and won at Listowel this week to give the form a boost. She should take all the beating now for trainer Joseph O’Brien.
Dubai Warrior won the Lingfield Winter Derby in 2020 and is the class horse in the race but has been absent since March. He’s also switched stable from John Gosden to David Loughnane’s and while that may prove a shrew purchase in time – I have to take him on tonight.
Aidan O’Brien’s Lough Derg created a big impression when winning at the track last year and reverts to the all weather now having run on grass all summer. He might be a bit of value in the market.
A wide-open handicap over 1m 2f. Mick Halford’s Golden Twilight has an interesting profile having run in bumpers before dropping down in trip to win a Curragh maiden last time and runs in this handicap off a mark of 80. Razdan was a big eye-catcher at Ballinrobe last time when a staying-on third but I’m more interested in Irwin. He won his maiden here and runs off a 5lb lower mark than when beaten on his handicap debut at Leopardstown. He has plenty of upside on just his second run in a handicap.
The first division of the 1m 4f handicap looks a better race than the finale and Racy Lacy and Grove Island both step up to 1m4f and I like the former to deliver but keep Grove Island in the tracker.
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