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Park Street may have bumped into a decent horse at Newbury for all that he was a huge price, but PAVLODAR is preferred. It was inexperience that denied Clive Cox’s colt a winning start at Leicester and he’s clearly a winner waiting to happen. Migdam should show more than on his debut and Maplewood has to be watched closely in the betting when his stable does so well here with its two-year-olds.
Today’s all-weather return may enable Degree to better last month’s respectable handicap debut, but the suggestion is dual novice winner RAISE THE ROOF. Things haven’t really panned out favourably for James Tate’s filly in her first two handicaps, but she remains very much of interest. Spirit Of The Bay and Peintre D’Etoiles also make appeal.
Royal Lodge entry AL JADDAF is taken to build on his debut promise and improve past Altraif, who is greatly respected all the same. Brayden Star is third choice among those with experience, while Altraif’s stablemate Dream By Day looks the clear pick of the newcomers.
If returning to the sort of form that saw her finish runner-up in a big field at Goodwood on her second start, Brazilian Beach would have a good chance. But, she may have to give best to JUMBLY on this occasion. Roger Charlton’s filly did it well when making a successful debut at Leicester and the extra furlong can only be in her favour, while her pedigree suggests she should handle the surface.
This can go to G’DAAY (NAP), who has raced mainly over 7 furlongs, but looked very well suited by the drop to 6 furlongs when finishing first at Yarmouth six weeks ago. He was subsequently demoted to second for causing interference there, but probably would have won quite comfortably had he kept straight in the closing stages, and a 2lbs nudge up the weights ought to be manageable.
Second choice is Saatty, who didn’t appear to handle the Epsom camber that well on Thursday and deserves credit for keeping on to take third.
The most likely to run well are MAFIA POWER, who is very consistent, and Murhib who steps back down in trip. Out Of Reason and Assembled may be best of the rest.
None is dismissed lightly, but further improvement from the three-year-old GEREMIA seems likely on this step up to 2m and that may well see him win again. Byron Hill has also won twice this term and may provide the most opposition, with Gentleman At Arms another candidate who’s been in good form.
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