This doesn’t look the strongest race of its type and it could be significant that LAST CRUSADER has been put in the Gimcrack Stakes at York next month and he might be worth chancing on debut. He is an expensive yearling and represents a yard that can ready one first time out. Stromboli is 7lbs better off with St Andrew’s Castle for a neck defeat here last month, so he can reverse those placings and provide the chief threat.
The vote goes to SAM’S CALL, who has shaped well both starts switched to handicaps since returning from a 20-month absence, leaving the impression that he is ready to come good soon at Musselburgh two weeks ago. He is worth another try at this trip, and the booking of Daniel Tudhope adds to his appeal, so he is worth chancing for shrewd connections
Gleniffer opened his account in good style over course and distance last month and will be a big threat if able to back that up, while recent Thirsk scorer Rebel Redemption is another to consider.
HIGH SECURITY remains a maiden, but he put in good late work when one-and-a-half lengths third to Royal Jazz at Musselburgh last time in a first-time visor and has a very realistic chance of reversing those placings. Indeed, Nigel Tinkler’s charge is now 6lbs better off with that rival and this stiffer track should play to his strengths. Royal Jazz is respected all the same, along with Cometh The Man and Burscough.
The drop back in trip looks a good move for the front-running OH SO HOT, who might be able to dominate this field from the inside stall. She showed good speed to lead at Hamilton last time, just not seeing out the longer trip. However, she remains on a good mark and represents a yard whose horses are running well, so she makes the most appeal here. Fellow three-year-old French Red is feared most ahead of last week’s penalised course scorer Oriental Lilly.
CHARGING THUNDER has progressed with each start so far and deservedly opened his account over this trip at Chepstow three weeks ago, making all on fast ground to beat a short-priced favourite. He was strong enough in the market himself though, and there was plenty to like about his attitude, with the pair pulling well clear of the remainder.
He will be suited by further in time, but an opening mark of 75 looks lenient. He looks the one to beat with further progress on that cards. Fairmac and Six Strings are feared most.
COVIGLIA has joined Michael Dods on a potentially lenient mark and shaped well when runner-up over course and distance last time, looming up and looking a big threat two furlongs out and only beaten a neck in a tight finish.
It is no surprise to see him go in first-time cheekpieces now and he looks the one to side with provided he reacts well to the headgear. Royal Countess and Caballero look the likeliest dangers.
Horse Racing tips: Timeform’s 6 best bets at Ayr on Monday
Our racing boffins fancy Last Crusader in the opener at 14:30.
By Timeform / Horse Racing Tips / 2 years ago
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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
14:30 Last Crusader
This doesn’t look the strongest race of its type and it could be significant that LAST CRUSADER has been put in the Gimcrack Stakes at York next month and he might be worth chancing on debut. He is an expensive yearling and represents a yard that can ready one first time out. Stromboli is 7lbs better off with St Andrew’s Castle for a neck defeat here last month, so he can reverse those placings and provide the chief threat.
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15:05 Sam’s Call
The vote goes to SAM’S CALL, who has shaped well both starts switched to handicaps since returning from a 20-month absence, leaving the impression that he is ready to come good soon at Musselburgh two weeks ago. He is worth another try at this trip, and the booking of Daniel Tudhope adds to his appeal, so he is worth chancing for shrewd connections
Gleniffer opened his account in good style over course and distance last month and will be a big threat if able to back that up, while recent Thirsk scorer Rebel Redemption is another to consider.
15:40 High Security
HIGH SECURITY remains a maiden, but he put in good late work when one-and-a-half lengths third to Royal Jazz at Musselburgh last time in a first-time visor and has a very realistic chance of reversing those placings. Indeed, Nigel Tinkler’s charge is now 6lbs better off with that rival and this stiffer track should play to his strengths. Royal Jazz is respected all the same, along with Cometh The Man and Burscough.
16:15 Oh So Hot
The drop back in trip looks a good move for the front-running OH SO HOT, who might be able to dominate this field from the inside stall. She showed good speed to lead at Hamilton last time, just not seeing out the longer trip. However, she remains on a good mark and represents a yard whose horses are running well, so she makes the most appeal here. Fellow three-year-old French Red is feared most ahead of last week’s penalised course scorer Oriental Lilly.
16:50 Charging Thunder
CHARGING THUNDER has progressed with each start so far and deservedly opened his account over this trip at Chepstow three weeks ago, making all on fast ground to beat a short-priced favourite. He was strong enough in the market himself though, and there was plenty to like about his attitude, with the pair pulling well clear of the remainder.
He will be suited by further in time, but an opening mark of 75 looks lenient. He looks the one to beat with further progress on that cards. Fairmac and Six Strings are feared most.
17:25 Coviglia
COVIGLIA has joined Michael Dods on a potentially lenient mark and shaped well when runner-up over course and distance last time, looming up and looking a big threat two furlongs out and only beaten a neck in a tight finish.
It is no surprise to see him go in first-time cheekpieces now and he looks the one to side with provided he reacts well to the headgear. Royal Countess and Caballero look the likeliest dangers.
Ayr tips summary:
14:30 Last Crusader
15:05 Sam’s Call
15:40 High Security
16:15 Oh So Hot
16:50 Charging Thunder
17:25 Coviglia
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