Horse Racing tips: Timeform’s 6 best bets at Ayr on Monday

Our racing boffins fancy Last Crusader in the opener at 14:30.

ayr-timeform Flat racing

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14:30 Last Crusader

This doesn’t look the strongest race of its type and it could be significant that LAST CRUSADER has been put in the Gimcrack Stakes at York next month and he might be worth chancing on debut. He is an expensive yearling and represents a yard that can ready one first time out. Stromboli is 7lbs better off with St Andrew’s Castle for a neck defeat here last month, so he can reverse those placings and provide the chief threat.

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15:05 Sam’s Call

The vote goes to SAM’S CALL, who has shaped well both starts switched to handicaps since returning from a 20-month absence, leaving the impression that he is ready to come good soon at Musselburgh two weeks ago. He is worth another try at this trip, and the booking of Daniel Tudhope adds to his appeal, so he is worth chancing for shrewd connections

Gleniffer opened his account in good style over course and distance last month and will be a big threat if able to back that up, while recent Thirsk scorer Rebel Redemption is another to consider.

15:40 High Security

HIGH SECURITY remains a maiden, but he put in good late work when one-and-a-half lengths third to Royal Jazz at Musselburgh last time in a first-time visor and has a very realistic chance of reversing those placings. Indeed, Nigel Tinkler’s charge is now 6lbs better off with that rival and this stiffer track should play to his strengths. Royal Jazz is respected all the same, along with Cometh The Man and Burscough.

Ayr Horse Racing

16:15 Oh So Hot

The drop back in trip looks a good move for the front-running OH SO HOT, who might be able to dominate this field from the inside stall. She showed good speed to lead at Hamilton last time, just not seeing out the longer trip. However, she remains on a good mark and represents a yard whose horses are running well, so she makes the most appeal here. Fellow three-year-old French Red is feared most ahead of last week’s penalised course scorer Oriental Lilly.

16:50 Charging Thunder

CHARGING THUNDER has progressed with each start so far and deservedly opened his account over this trip at Chepstow three weeks ago, making all on fast ground to beat a short-priced favourite. He was strong enough in the market himself though, and there was plenty to like about his attitude, with the pair pulling well clear of the remainder.

He will be suited by further in time, but an opening mark of 75 looks lenient. He looks the one to beat with further progress on that cards. Fairmac and Six Strings are feared most.

17:25 Coviglia

COVIGLIA has joined Michael Dods on a potentially lenient mark and shaped well when runner-up over course and distance last time, looming up and looking a big threat two furlongs out and only beaten a neck in a tight finish.

It is no surprise to see him go in first-time cheekpieces now and he looks the one to side with provided he reacts well to the headgear. Royal Countess and Caballero look the likeliest dangers.

Ayr tips summary:

14:30 Last Crusader
15:05 Sam’s Call
15:40 High Security
16:15 Oh So Hot
16:50 Charging Thunder
17:25 Coviglia

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