Horse Racing tips: Jason Weaver’s sweet selections for Saturday’s ITV races

Jason is back with 11 awesome picks for you to follow at Ascot, Newmarket and York.

Jason Weaver_991x624_

Comments

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

13:45 York – Ajyaall

AJYAALL managed to win two of his three starts last season and was punted off the boards when making his reappearance at this track last time. Things didn’t pan out ideally for him on that occasion and also he was looking a little burley in the paddock, suggesting he would come on significantly. With the one meeting rule around at the moment, James Sullivan has picked up some fantastic rides for the William Haggas outfit.

NEW TO PADDY POWER?

14:05 Newmarket – Star Of Emaraaty

STAR OF EMARAATY is only having her fourth lifetime start for the new trainer combination of John and Thady Gosden having been trained by Kevin Ryan previously for her biggest success last year – which actually came over this course and distance.

She quite clearly couldn’t handle the ground conditions when last seen at Ascot. But, given that the rain stays away and we have a decent racing surface, she looks massively overpriced with Frankie Dettori in the saddle. She is an each-way play as the red-hot favourite Samoot looks too short in attempting to back up a big effort when last seen.

14:20 York – Max Vega

We know plenty about most of the runners in this line-up as they have locked horns on numerous occasions. However, MAX VEGA has not been seen out so far this term owing to the fact that the ground conditions have not been ideal, so the Ralph Beckett team have been very patient indeed. He has some rock-solid form in the book and, although not best treated on official ratings, he rates a massive each-way play in a cracking Silver Cup Stakes contest if he is fit.

14:40 Newmarket – Royal Fleet

ROYAL FLEET brings in that sexy 100% record, but has not been fully extended to keep that record intact. He seems flexible as regards tactics, however we are obviously still learning about him having only been on the racecourse on a couple of occasions.

He’s going to need to step up dramatically after being pitched into a tough handicap here, but it looks as if the handicapper has underestimated him by just allotting a lowly mark of 93.

Charlie Appleby’s three-year-olds are ripping along at the moment and he can just be another of the production line.

Newmarket-July-course

15:00 Ascot – Sir Busker

Admittedly it has been a little while since SIR BUSKER graced the winners enclosure, but he has taken the jump from handicap company up into Group races pretty much in his stride. He has been faced with some mammoth tasks to date and has acquitted himself with a huge amount of credit.

Sir Busker has been given a slight easing grade and that will help, although this is no gimme with the likes of Century Dream, Top Rank and Tilsit in the line-up. He can finally get that overdue success here though.

15:15 Newmarket – Dhabab

DHABAB was all the rage for the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot when sent off a well backed favourite. He was on his nose from the very start and wasn’t given an overly hard time when it was clear that he wasn’t going to win.

He would quite clearly benefit from the step up and distance, as he’s a good body type who can only continue to progress throughout the season. Frankie Dettori takes over in the saddle again, on what could be a fantastic afternoon as he bids to win the Darley July Cup for the very first time later on.

15:35 Ascot – Makanah

MAKANAH has taken a little time to reach full fitness, which is surprising given he normally is ready to go off the bench. He was slightly disappointed on his return at Chester in early, but put a much better run together last time at York. Again, Julie Camacho has been incredibly patient and she has obviously had this race in mind as a long-range target for some time with fantastic money on offer.

We get a good jockey upgrade with Ben Curtis in the saddle and the addition of cheek pieces will make him focus. That could be just the little edge needed to pick up the big pot, but keep an eye on Mondammej he will be flying home late.

15:50 Newmarket – Ropey Guest

ROPEY GUEST has been chopping and changing distances for some time now, but this looks an ideal opportunity for him to come and show us his true ability. He was a very short price for the Wokingham Stakes at the Royal meeting, but was never going from the fall of the flag and was woefully outpaced all the way up the straight at Ascot.

He did incredibly well to finish third on his side of the racecourse. He’s not badly handicapped here and this sort of contest (a big field with a guaranteed pace) is right up his street. He rates as a solid an each-way prospect.

16:05 York – Surrey Pride

SURREY PRIDE looked absolutely devastating when running away with a course in distance handicap here some 57 days ago. There has been no problem with his training schedule as Joseph Tuite immediately pinpointed this contest as the target straight after that victory.

He is blessed with a tremendous change of gear and can use that weapon late on in this fiendishly difficult handicap. This could be another big victory for his excellent handler.

16:25 Newmarket – Oxted

OXTED did us a favour at the Royal meeting, and this looks as if it will be run at another breakneck gallop and that should suit his come from behind tactics perfectly. He’s drawn up in the high numbers and should get a little bit of cover early on. He can then be unleashed at the furlong marker.

Just in case there is no pace on his side, keep a close eye on the price of Method, who rates an each-way danger judged on his close up fifth to Rohaan at Haydock.

16:40 York – Winter Power

WINTER POWER is not the easiest to get from A-to-B, but the David Allan takes over from the Silvestre de Sousa on this occasion and he knows her particularly well. It’s all about being very gentle with her as she is super sensitive to the rider’s instructions.

She should be away right from the off and she could take an awful lot of catching down here. But, if she is taken on early in the contest, our rider will be able to take a lead. She’s going to be tough to beat and can play a major part in the top sprinting division over the next couple of seasons.

Jason Weaver’s tips summary:

13:45 York – Ajyaall
14:05 Newmarket – Star Of Emaraaty
14:20 York – Max Vega
14:40 Newmarket – Royal Fleet
15:00 Ascot – Sir Busker
15:15 Newmarket – Dhabab
15:35 Ascot – Makanah
15:50 Newmarket – Ropey Guest
16:05 York – Surrey Pride
16:25 Newmarket – Oxted
16:40 York – Winter Power

DON’T MISS

  • CHECK OUT OUR BRAND NEW SNAZZY RACECARDS FOR EVERY SINGLE RACE TODAY
  • … THEN GET ALL THE WINNERS BEFORE ANYONE ELSE WITH OUR FAST RESULTS

READ

READ MORE

The latest racing odds are on PaddyPower.com now

The Paddy Power Guide To Responsible Gambling – Everything You Need To Know