Horse Racing tips: Jason Weaver’s best bets for ITV Races on Thursday

Day one of the three-day Festival at HQ and top pundit Jason Weaver has your tellybox tips at Newmarket & Carlisle.

Jason Weaver Flat Racing

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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Newmarket 13:50 Stowell

The Gosden’s three-year-old has improved massively from race-to-race stepping up from his debut effort at Lingfield for a comfortable victory at Ascot and then taking a significant step forward when filling third spot in the Queens Vase at the Royal meeting. Stowell was held up well off the pace on that occasion and did remarkably well to finish as close as he did. It’s a bit of a ‘weather watch’ as far as he is concerned but provided the ground is good or quicker, his chances are enhanced.

Carlisle 14:05 Lady Celia

Richard Fahey’s filly looked ready for the step back up in distance to today’s 6f trip went running on strongly inside the final furlong and only failing by a neck to reel in the winner at Hamilton last time.

Jockey Connor Murtagh knows Lady Celia particularly well, having been on board for two of her three lifetime successes, The track looks absolutely perfect as she seems to enjoy hitting the rising ground. She won’t mind if any rain falls as she seems flexible on different ground conditions.

Newmarket 14:25 Eldricjones

Was only just denied on his racecourse debut and put up a tremendous performance when finishing second in the Coventry Stakes at the Royal meeting. He had a good few of these in behind then and there doesn’t seem any reason that that form will not be upheld as Eldrickjones was slightly unlucky at Ascot. He was making his challenge towards the centre of the racecourse before being switched left-handed, (which checked his momentum) and then ran on against the winner Berkshire Shadow, who had a clear passage up the fence. It’s pressure cooker time for trainer Roger Fell to come up with the goods now.

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Newmarket 15:00 Boomshalaa

Le Eyre’s charge looked very good when winning at Windsor, with the front two pulling miles clear of the remainder of the field. He was found a good opportunity from his rating of 93 at the Royal meeting, however it was over the wrong distance of 5f and quite clearly he was out of his comfort zone and rhythm throughout that race. Despite that, Boomshalaa did incredibly well to finish in second having never been left alone by his rider to keep in touch. Stepping up in distance now to 6f and with just a  rap over the knuckles from the handicapper of a 3lb penalty, he could yet prove to be much better than a handicapper.

Newmarket 15:35 Al Aasy

A few like Sir Ron Priestley and Highest Ground are on a recovery missions now and need to bounce back after disappointing displays last time behind Wonderful Tonight at Royal Ascot. However, Al Aasy has shown he has grown into a true top-level performer throughout the early part of this season, with bloodless victories followed by an excellent second to Pyledriver at the highest level in the Coronation Cup at Epsom. That form is head and shoulders above the best form in the lineup.

He travels beautifully in his races he’s also on his home patch which is an added bonus as he sometimes can get a little bit agitated when away from HQ.

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