Horse Racing tips: Paul Jacobs’ 4 value plays across the tracks on Saturday

Top tipster Paul Jacobs has deep-dived into Saturday's cards.

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* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

Haydock 13:45 – True Mason

Cold Stare is an interesting runner off a mark of 87 with Oisin Murphy booked. You could argue he is better suited to a fast run six than seven furlongs and he is a course and distance winner to boot. There was plenty to like about his seasonal debut second at Thirsk behind a progressive sort and I make him the main danger to my selection True Mason.

Rated as high as 95 this time last year when he was campaigned up to seven furlongs, the bottom weight has always seemed best when locked away at the rear of the field with the hope that the front runners make it a real test at the trip.

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That enables him to relax into the bridle and get into a nice rhythm as he did when third to Treble Treble, albeit in a class four contest, at Newcastle in April.

Since then, True Mason has upped his game at both Ripon and Doncaster in soft ground and now comes here off a rating of just 77 with the ultra confident David Egan on board. He is beautifully drawn to be hidden away in the pack before being unleashed late on. Getting weight all round his chance is clear to see.

Haydock 14:20 – Dubai Station

This is a really good renewal of the Listed Achilles Stakes. A number of the smart handicappers entered at this level have very little to find, in particular Count D’Orsay who has a cracking record at the Merseyside track.

I shall be having a saver on the five-year-old mudlark if I can get odds of 12/1 about him.

But my main selection is the Robert Cowell-trained Dubai Station who is hitting form at just the right time. His opening salvo at Newmarket may appear, on the surface, to be a tad disappointing, but he was never really striding out with any purpose on the fast ground that day and he was seen to much better effect on a soft surface at Windsor two weeks ago.

Now sure to be at peak fitness and form wise he looks a huge each-way player here if Silvestre de Sousa can get him settled early on, so he can use his turn of foot at the business end of the race.

The colt is one from one at the track and the price looks something to go to war with against the market leaders Moss Gill and the likeable El Astronaute.



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Beverley 14:35 – Sagauteur

Course and distance winner Three Saints Bay is on a very tempting mark of 83 having last won off 98, albeit in the summer of 2019, but he served notice that his turn was very close at hand with a fine third of eight behind Hong Kong Harry at Ayr.

This looks quite competitive for this class of race though and it may well be worth taking a chance with the Literato gelding Sagauteur, who has taken time to acclimatise to racing over here since landing from France.

The five-year-old was initially quite highly tried in a couple of hot Class 3 events at Haydock on deep ground, the latter behind the smart Brentford Hope off a mark of 89. However, the handicapper has given him a real chance this season by pushing him right down to a rating of 77.

I admit he doesn’t have a particularly good record when fresh, but his last two runs last back end suggest that 10 and 12 furlongs were way beyond his stamina limitations. A well-run mile on soft ground should be more to his liking.

He was initially quite highly tried as a juvenile on the other side of the English Channel, and if he retains a modicum off that ability now that he has settled into his new surroundings I expect a leap forward now.

Haydock 15:30 – With Thanks

Despite having the burden of a penalty to carry, Safe Voyage will almost certainly make the market for the rest of the field in this Group Three John Of Gaunt Stakes, a race he won as a six-year-old in 2019. However, the more the ground dries out the lesser his chance becomes and as a probably slightly regressive eight-year-old, I feel that he is well worth opposing.

Njord would be a huge player for his shrewd yard if returning to his best Royal Ascot form from last year and is not discounted at his current price, but I am a huge fan of the William Haggas’ runner With Thanks, even though he is slightly shorter than the kind of price I like to put up in this column.

The son of Camacho loves to get his toe into the turf and signed off last season with a smooth success in the Group Three Athasi Stakes at Naas. That day he travelled very strongly through the race before putting the prize to bed in a matter of strides.

He has yet to win over this trip, but his high-cruising speed is a massive asset with several front runners/pressers set to line up the very lightly raced four-year-old should get a lovely tow into this contest before stamping his class on the event inside the distance.

Paul Jacobs’ 4 value plays across the tracks:

Haydock 13:45 – True Mason
Haydock 14:20 – Dubai Station
Beverley 14:35 – Sagauteur
Haydock 15:30 – With Thanks

* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.



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