Alan King has a good record in this race and appears to have found a suitable opportunity for GLIDE DOWN. He shaped well when second on his debut at Salisbury and is taken to go one better. Adayar is probably capable of better than he showed when fourth over C&D on his debut.
They’re racing on fresh ground, with the inner track in use for the first time this year, but it will still be testing following yesterday’s rain on already-soft going. FLYING WEST (nap), who’s out of a Pivotal mare, showed that these sort of conditions are fine on her turf debut off 5lb lower two weeks ago and she can make it four wins from six with improvement left. Espresso Freddo is an obvious danger if in the same mood as at Windsor last week, as is last year’s winner Mustarrid, who’s been running in better company all season. So I Told You needs to settle better.
Imperium Blue had two of these behind at York 19 days ago, when continuing the progress for his new yard, but he’s worse off with both and will need another forward step to confirm superiority. It’s possible to make a case for Hey Mr turning things round on 3lb better terms, as he met traffic that day, and even more so for beaten favourite BEDFORD FLYER coming out on top this time, with him best of those to race on a strong pace. Fantasy Master, who’s progressed nicely with racing, could yet rate better if he can improve things at the stalls.
Another furlong would have been preferable for Rasheeq and arguably for Michaels Choice, who made it 3-4 over the stiff 5.7f at Bath last time. Helvetian is better than he showed over C&D last time and is on an attractive mark now, but so too is three-time C&D winner SHOW PALACE, who had excuses last time, faces his ideal conditions and represents a yard in decent form.
A lot may well depend on just how deep the ground is, because on the Goodwood evidence over 2m on heavy going 17 days ago it’s doubtful whether any of these could outstay LAND OF WINTER. It looks as if he will be suited by every yard and by every drop of recent rain. Orin Swift was tailed off in the same Goodwood race but had shown up well in two earlier races this season and is a big player if he returns to that sort of form. C’Est No Mour may be a slightly more reliable proposition, though.
This is not a bad novice event and it might be worth taking a chance on PUSH THE TEMPO making a winning start on the Flat. He has been running well over hurdles recently and has a big chance if he can transfer that form to the level. Ispahan shapes as if he has more to offer and rates the best alternative ahead of Cadeau D’Or, who is likely to improve for the step up in trip.[
While none of these inspires great confidence, there’s a reasonable case to be made that SEABOROUGH can raise his game a notch following his reappearance third at Redcar 12 days ago. Bigbadboy is next on the list.
There were also two divisions of this race last year and they were won by Country’N’Western and Born To Please, who both require a close look in this repeat bid. The former has shown enough this season to be taken particularly seriously but so has CONTRAST who was seriously hampered before finishing strongly into second at Redcar 12 days ago. Thermal is a last-time-out AW winner to consider, while Mr Sundowner showed a bit on his recent reappearance.
The Racing Post’s tips for Nottingham today
*All prices correct at time of publication
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