Opera Gift and Aaddeey both make their handicap debuts and could well be ahead of their opening marks but Duke Of Condicote looks very interesting off a little mid-season break.
He dead-heated with Bahrani Star on his reappearance at Haydock in June and Bahrani Star is now rated 26lbs higher. That was off a mark of 72 and on his next start he was second off a mark of 76 to Grand Bazaar. Grand Bazaar is now rated 21lbs higher and Duke Of Condicote found a Class 2 handicap at Haydock too much for him, but that was a decent race with the likes of Favourite Moon and Subjectivist ahead of him. He didn’t really appear to have to the stamina for the 1m 6f trip.
He drops in trip now and runs off a mark of 78, which, based on his runs earlier in the season suggests is a very fair mark and he looks like a decent each-way bet against the more unexposed types in this.
A seller where the six runners look closely matched on these terms, but Splinter looks to one most likely to run up to his mark and actually might well be capable of running above his mark. On his last start in a Class 3 handicap at Haydock, he wasn’t disgraced when fourth and the winner and third finished first and second in a Class 2 handicap at York at the weekend.
That actually suggests that Splinter could potentially be well treated off a mark of 68 were he to take his chance in a handicap and getting weight off all bar one here he looks like he could be tough to beat if replicating that Haydock form.
The horses with form under rules in this maiden hurdle don’t set the bar very high and this looks like a good opportunity for Brave Way to get off the mark at her first attempt under rules. A point-to-point winner this time last year, the third that day won a maiden hurdle at Limerick and Brave Way fetched £160,000 at the Sales at Cheltenham the following month.
Not seen since, she makes her debut for Henry De Bromhead here with his yard in great form with nine winners in the last two weeks. Owner Kenneth Alexander has had some lovely mares the last couple of seasons, namely Honeysuckle, Minella Melody, Elfile and Sinoria and perhaps Brave Way might be the next nice mare for him.
This conditions sprint is a useful little race but Danzeno should prove difficult to beat despite failing to win since July last year. He has been extremely consistent in the interim, finishing placed on his last five starts and he comes out best on these terms without taking into account the excellent Ray Dawson’s 5lb claim.
He was a very good second in the Portland Handicap just two starts back and a repeat of that level of form should make him difficult to beat.
This isn’t the strongest looking novice race ever staged and it might be worth taking a chance on The Sedberghian who is likely to be a very attractive price.
He is a half brother to Lisard Lady who won on debut for Tom Cooper in Down Royal and his sire Kodi Bear has produced a few useful juveniles this season, namely Cobh and Measure Of Magic. What also catches the eye is trainer Tim Fitzgerald’s record with the few juveniles that he runs. He has only had two juveniles run on the all weather in the last five years and both have won, with an overall strike rate of three wins and a place from five starts.
Considering this doesn’t look the deepest race, any market support for The Sedberghian should most definitely be noted.
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