13:05 Ayr Poet
AYR POET has been in really good form this season and has won three times already. He shaped really well at Hamilton when ridden a little of the pace. The 1m 2f trip and the ease in the ground should suit, while the trainer and jockey combo of Jim Goldie and Phil Dennis have been on a really good run of form too.
Granite City Doc has first-time cheekpieces on, but doesn’t look as well handicapped as our selection Ayr Poet. Breguet Boy should appreciate the ground and showed improved form to win at Hamilton last time.
13:40 Iconic Code
The Joe Fanning-ridden ICONIC CODE has run better than his last two runs suggest and was travelling well at Thirsk last time when hampered over a furlong out and wasn’t knocked about afterwards. She has won on heavy ground in October for the last three seasons and is now 5lbs lower than the last of those wins.
This looks to be her time of year to win. Flying Moon is chasing a hat-trick but may need to improve again, while Sorbonne has been hiked 3lbs for his last run when second at this track over this distance.
14:10 John Kirkup
Michael Dods’ JOHN KIRKUP is a course and distance winner and loves heavy ground. He finished fourth in the really competitive Silver Cup two runs back at this course and should be a leading player again.
Black Friday is top rated and should be competitive as should Betsie Trotter, but John Kirkup appeals the most.
Read: Cheltenham Festival 2021: Paddy’s having a mare with new race sponsorship
14:40 Sienna Dream
SIENNA DREAM is really consistent and has been placed in her last five starts and was a little unlucky to get beaten at Hamilton last time. She made up rapid ground from the back of the pack, while the winner was on the front end all the way. She handles the ground and the yard are in good form.
The top-rated is Strong Steps is well handicapped, but is unproven on heavy and the front-running Kodimoor should make this 7 furlong contest a real test of stamina. It’s an open race, but Sienna Dream looks a solid option.
15:10 Ugo Gregory
Tim Easterby’s UGO GREGORY could be hard to beat here on the back of a course and distance win last week. He’ll likely be a short-priced favourite having posted a career-best effort last time and this looks a weak contest.
Sin E Shekells makes its debut for Michael Dods and is proven in Ireland on heavy ground, but it’s hard to gauge the form of his races. Mountain Rescue won last time out, but the ground is a worry and Ugo Gregory looks the safest play.
15:40 Queen of Camelot
A 1m 5f to end the card and the ground is going to be really attritional by then. QUEEN OF CAMELOT has only five runs to her name and isn’t the quickest, but the heavy ground could slow the others down.
Her dam was third in a Northumberland Plate, so there is plenty of stamina in her pedigree and she looks unexposed. She could be the answer to this contest where the Timeform top rated is the unreliable Framley Garth, who carries the Timeform squiggle.
* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget.
Ayr tips summary:
13:05 Ayr Poet
13:40 Iconic Code
14:10 John Kirkup
14:40 Sienna Dream
15:10 Ugo Gregory
15:40 Queen of Camelot
READ MORE:
- Paddy’s Hall of Fame: Punter pockets over £2,000 of £1 racing fourfold
- We took a £650k #WhatOddsPaddy pounding on Super Sunday meltdowns
The Paddy Power Guide To Responsible Gambling – Everything You Need To Know
